Sign in Register
πŸ”’

Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Friday 5 April 2024

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

32 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 5 April 2024. Al Wehda Club vs Al-Ahli Jeddah led the list at 80% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 80% down to 21%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Pro League supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League Β· China
Changchun Yatai
1 : 2 FT
Shanghai Shenhua
Win 21%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 54%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Super League Β· China
Henan Jianye
0 : 2 FT
Sichuan Jiuniu
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Super League Β· China
Qingdao Jonoon
0 : 1 FT
Shandong Luneng
Win 30%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Super League Β· China
Beijing Guoan
2 : 2 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 33%
Draw 28%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Super League Β· China
Nantong Zhiyun
1 : 0 FT
Meizhou Kejia
Win 32%
Draw 25%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Cracovia Krakow
2 : 2 FT
ŁKS Łódź
Win 73%
Draw 18%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 10%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Paderborn 07
2 : 3 FT
Hertha BSC
Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hansa Rostock
3 : 1 FT
SV Wehen
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Bundesliga Β· Austria
SCR Altach
0 : 0 FT
WSG Wattens
Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Dordrecht
2 : 1 FT
De Graafschap
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Cambuur
0 : 2 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 29%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 50%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 72%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 9%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC OSS
2 : 1 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 29%
Draw 26%
Win 46%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
MVV
3 : 0 FT
Helmond Sport
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Telstar
3 : 1 FT
Jong PSV U21
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
SK Beveren
2 : 1 FT
RSC Anderlecht II
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Zulte Waregem
0 : 0 FT
Patro Eisden
Win 26%
Draw 36%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS No 71%
✓ Model Score 0–0 Β· 21%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 : 1 FT
Werder Bremen
Win 45%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Radomiak Radom
2 : 1 FT
Raków Częstochowa
Win 26%
Draw 33%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie B Β· Italy
Bari
1 : 2 FT
Cremonese
Win 35%
Draw 34%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 15%
Serie A Β· Italy
Salernitana
2 : 2 FT
Sassuolo
Win 35%
Draw 29%
Win 36%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
KV Mechelen
2 : 3 FT
St. Truiden
Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 11%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Bohemians
0 : 1 FT
Waterford
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Derry City
4 : 1 FT
Dundalk
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Drogheda United
2 : 2 FT
Shelbourne
Win 19%
Draw 28%
Win 52%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 16%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
2 : 1 FT
Shamrock Rovers
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 33%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Championship Β· England
Rotherham
0 : 1 FT
Plymouth
Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 15%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Lille
3 : 1 FT
Marseille
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 11%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC
0 : 0 FT
Al Taawon
Win 42%
Draw 23%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Wehda Club
1 : 1 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win 30%
Draw 19%
Win 51%
Over 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS Yes 77%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 8%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Damac
0 : 1 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 14%
Draw 17%
βœ“ Win 69%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 9%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Khaleej Saihat
1 : 4 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 18%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 63%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 10%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Farense
2 : 0 FT
Boavista
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%

Showing 32 of 32 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 5 April 2024?

32 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al Wehda Club vs Al-Ahli Jeddah at 80% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.