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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Friday 23 February 2024

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 34 fixtures on Friday 23 February 2024. ADO Den Haag vs MVV led the list at 76% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 76% down to 32%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Nakhon Pathom
2 : 2 FT
Muangthong United
Win 33%
Draw 28%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
LNZ Cherkasy
0 : 3 FT
Kryvbas KR
Win 21%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 49%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Taawon
3 : 1 FT
Al Okhdood
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Riyadh
1 : 1 FT
Al-Raed
Win 29%
Draw 28%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Piast Gliwice
0 : 0 FT
Cracovia Krakow
Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Samsunspor
3 : 0 FT
Rizespor
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 27%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fateh
1 : 1 FT
Damac
Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Holstein Kiel
3 : 4 FT
FC St. Pauli
Win 35%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Wehen
1 : 2 FT
SC Paderborn 07
Win 33%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Utrecht
1 : 0 FT
Heracles
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
2 : 2 FT
MVV
Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Groningen
0 : 0 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
De Graafschap
2 : 0 FT
Den Bosch
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
VVV Venlo
2 : 2 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Willem II
2 : 3 FT
Roda
Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Emmen
2 : 0 FT
Cambuur
Win 29%
Draw 25%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
SK Beveren
2 : 2 FT
Deinze
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Patro Eisden
3 : 0 FT
K. Lierse S.K.
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 1 FT
FSV Mainz 05
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 21%
Win 9%
BTTS No 60% Bayer Leverkusen Clean Sheet 56%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 15%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Pogon Szczecin
4 : 2 FT
ŁKS Łódź
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Serie B Β· Italy
Cosenza
1 : 2 FT
Sampdoria
Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Championship Β· England
Coventry
0 : 3 FT
Preston
Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
League One Β· England
Wigan
1 : 1 FT
Cheltenham
Win 42%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Serie A Β· Italy
Bologna
2 : 0 FT
Hellas Verona
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 25%
Win 11%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 60% ✓ Bologna Clean Sheet 53%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Charleroi
0 : 1 FT
Genk
Win 29%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 47%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Drogheda United
1 : 4 FT
Waterford
Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Dundalk
0 : 2 FT
Galway United
Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shelbourne
2 : 1 FT
Shamrock Rovers
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 34%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
0 : 1 FT
Bohemians
Win 44%
Draw 32%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Championship Β· England
Leeds
3 : 1 FT
Leicester
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Metz
1 : 2 FT
Lyon
Win 25%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 41%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
La Liga Β· Spain
Real Sociedad
1 : 3 FT
Villarreal
Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Arouca
3 : 2 FT
Famalicao
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Primera División Β· Chile
U. Catolica
0 : 1 FT
Nublense
Win 33%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 40%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%

Showing 34 of 34 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 23 February 2024?

34 fixtures met the criteria, led by ADO Den Haag vs MVV at 76% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.