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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Saturday 21 January 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

72 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 21 January 2023. Zulte Waregem vs KVC Westerlo led the list at 75% in the Jupiler Pro League. The shortlist runs from 75% down to 28%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Bundesliga supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 · Thailand
Lampang FC
1 : 5 FT
Muangthong United
Win 21%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Bangkok United
3 : 1 FT
Nong Bua Pitchaya
✓ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 2 FT
Prachuap
Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Liverpool
0 : 0 FT
Chelsea
Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Championship · England
Coventry
2 : 4 FT
Norwich
Win 35%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 35%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Ratchaburi
0 : 2 FT
Khon Kaen United
Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Serie B · Italy
Benevento
1 : 2 FT
Genoa
Win 27%
Draw 34%
✓ Win 39%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Serie B · Italy
Como
2 : 2 FT
Pisa
Win 34%
Draw 33%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–0 · 14%
Serie B · Italy
Modena
2 : 0 FT
Cosenza
✓ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Parma
2 : 0 FT
Perugia
✓ Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Reggina
2 : 1 FT
Ternana
✓ Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Spal
1 : 1 FT
Ascoli
Win 33%
Draw 28%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Venezia
0 : 1 FT
Sudtirol
Win 33%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 39%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano
0 : 2 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 33%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 40%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Kasımpaşa
1 : 3 FT
Başakşehir
Win 31%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
Hellas Verona
2 : 0 FT
Lecce
✓ Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Wehda Club
1 : 0 FT
Al Taee
✓ Win 45%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Bundesliga · Germany
Union Berlin
3 : 1 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
✓ Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Germany
Eintracht Frankfurt
3 : 0 FT
FC Schalke 04
✓ Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Wolfsburg
6 : 0 FT
SC Freiburg
✓ Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Bochum
3 : 1 FT
Hertha BSC
✓ Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Germany
VfB Stuttgart
1 : 1 FT
FSV Mainz 05
Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · England
Bournemouth
1 : 1 FT
Nottingham Forest
Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Premier League · England
Leicester
2 : 2 FT
Brighton
Win 26%
Draw 25%
Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · England
Southampton
0 : 1 FT
Aston Villa
Win 29%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · England
West Ham
2 : 0 FT
Everton
✓ Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Championship · England
Birmingham
1 : 2 FT
Preston
Win 32%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 41%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Bristol City
1 : 1 FT
Blackburn
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Championship · England
Cardiff
0 : 1 FT
Millwall
Win 34%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–0 · 15%
Championship · England
QPR
1 : 1 FT
Swansea
Win 31%
Draw 24%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Championship · England
Stoke City
4 : 0 FT
Reading
✓ Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Watford
1 : 1 FT
Rotherham
Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Championship · England
Wigan
0 : 2 FT
Luton
Win 15%
Draw 20%
✓ Win 64%
Over 2.5 56%
✓ Model Score 0–2 · 11%
League One · England
Barnsley
3 : 1 FT
Accrington ST
✓ Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
League One · England
Derby
2 : 1 FT
Bolton
✓ Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Forest Green
1 : 2 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 22%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 51%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
League One · England
Oxford United
2 : 1 FT
Ipswich
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Plymouth
4 : 2 FT
Cheltenham
✓ Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
League One · England
Portsmouth
2 : 0 FT
Exeter City
Win 37%
Draw 26%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League One · England
Sheffield Wednesday
1 : 0 FT
Fleetwood Town
✓ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 12%
League One · England
Shrewsbury
5 : 1 FT
Cambridge United
✓ Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League Two · England
Colchester
0 : 2 FT
Gillingham
Win 54%
Draw 30%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 67% Colchester Clean Sheet 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 20%
League Two · England
Hartlepool
2 : 0 FT
Rochdale
Win 28%
Draw 26%
Win 46%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League Two · England
Stevenage
3 : 0 FT
Leyton Orient
✓ Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Zulte Waregem
1 : 1 FT
KVC Westerlo
Win 36%
Draw 21%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
Model Score 1–2 · 8%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
RWDM
2 : 1 FT
Deinze
✓ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Super League 1 · Greece
OFI
1 : 0 FT
Asteras Tripolis
✓ Win 42%
Draw 36%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Serie B · Italy
Cittadella
0 : 0 FT
Cagliari
Win 31%
Draw 31%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Espanyol
1 : 0 FT
Real Betis
Win 31%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Dordrecht
0 : 0 FT
Telstar
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Pacos Ferreira
1 : 2 FT
SC Braga
Win 12%
Draw 20%
✓ Win 68%
BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–2 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Galatasaray
2 : 1 FT
Antalyaspor
✓ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Salernitana
0 : 2 FT
Napoli
Win 24%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 50%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Luzern
2 : 2 FT
FC Zurich
Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
KV Mechelen
3 : 2 FT
Kortrijk
✓ Win 47%
Draw 23%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Oostende
1 : 2 FT
Cercle Brugge
Win 29%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · England
Crystal Palace
0 : 0 FT
Newcastle
Win 14%
Draw 23%
Win 63%
✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Köln
7 : 1 FT
Werder Bremen
✓ Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
La Liga · Spain
Atletico Madrid
3 : 0 FT
Valladolid
✓ Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
NEC Nijmegen
3 : 1 FT
Emmen
✓ Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Santa Clara
0 : 3 FT
Benfica
Win 27%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 48%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League 1 · Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
3 : 0 FT
Volos NFC
✓ Win 46%
Draw 35%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
1 : 0 FT
Vitesse
✓ Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Cambuur
0 : 3 FT
Sparta Rotterdam
Win 16%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 53%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Dender
3 : 4 FT
Excelsior Virton
Win 40%
Draw 23%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Super League · Switzerland
Grasshoppers
1 : 2 FT
BSC Young Boys
Win 27%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Serie A · Italy
Fiorentina
0 : 1 FT
Torino
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
1 : 0 FT
OH Leuven
✓ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Sevilla
1 : 0 FT
Cadiz
✓ Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vitória SC
0 : 1 FT
FC Porto
Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 14%
Primera División · Chile
Palestino
1 : 1 FT
A. Italiano
Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Primera División · Chile
Cobresal
3 : 1 FT
Union La Calera
✓ Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Showing 72 of 72 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Saturday 21 January 2023?

72 fixtures met the criteria, led by Zulte Waregem vs KVC Westerlo at 75% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.