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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Sunday 22 January 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

52 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 22 January 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Alanyaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük at 73% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 73% down to 27%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Turkey
Gaziantep FK
1 : 2 FT
Sivasspor
Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Port FC
2 : 1 FT
BG Pathum United
✓ Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Chiangrai United
1 : 1 FT
Lamphun Warrior
Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Chonburi FC
5 : 3 FT
Police Tero
✓ Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heerenveen
3 : 1 FT
Groningen
✓ Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
1 : 1 FT
Jong Utrecht
Win 41%
Draw 24%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
Sampdoria
0 : 1 FT
Udinese
Win 21%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 60%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Championship · England
Sunderland
2 : 0 FT
Middlesbrough
Win 27%
Draw 23%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Sukhothai FC
0 : 3 FT
Buriram United
Win 17%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 56%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Antwerp
4 : 1 FT
Standard Liege
✓ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
La Liga · Spain
Villarreal
1 : 0 FT
Girona
✓ Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Alanyaspor
2 : 2 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
Win 60%
Draw 20%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Kayserispor
0 : 2 FT
Beşiktaş
Win 42%
Draw 23%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Sion
2 : 3 FT
FC Lugano
Win 28%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Ittihad Kalba
2 : 1 FT
Al-Jazira
Win 30%
Draw 21%
Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Wasl FC
3 : 0 FT
Khorfakkan
✓ Win 47%
Draw 24%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Twente
2 : 0 FT
Utrecht
✓ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Feyenoord
1 : 1 FT
Ajax
Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · England
Leeds
0 : 0 FT
Brentford
Win 38%
Draw 24%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Premier League · England
Manchester City
3 : 0 FT
Wolves
✓ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Serie A · Italy
Monza
1 : 1 FT
Sassuolo
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Super League 1 · Greece
Ionikos
1 : 2 FT
AEK Athens FC
Win 13%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 57%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2 : 1 FT
Abha
✓ Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Dortmund
4 : 3 FT
FC Augsburg
✓ Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Seraing United
0 : 1 FT
Anderlecht
Win 19%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 53%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 62%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 17%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
SK Beveren
2 : 0 FT
Beerschot VA
✓ Win 55%
Draw 20%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Super League 1 · Greece
Levadiakos
0 : 0 FT
Lamia
Win 42%
Draw 36%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Primera División · Chile
Everton de Vina
0 : 3 FT
U. Catolica
Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Brescia
1 : 3 FT
Frosinone
Win 30%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 39%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
La Liga · Spain
Elche
1 : 1 FT
Osasuna
Win 27%
Draw 33%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Maritimo
1 : 0 FT
Estoril
✓ Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 63%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Super League · Switzerland
FC ST. Gallen
1 : 1 FT
FC Basel 1893
Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar
3 : 1 FT
Fortuna Sittard
✓ Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Trabzonspor
4 : 0 FT
İstanbulspor
✓ Win 71%
Draw 19%
Win 9%
✓ BTTS No 58% ✓ Trabzonspor Clean Sheet 53%
Model Score 2–0 · 14%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Sharjah FC
1 : 1 FT
Al Nasr
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Bataeh
2 : 3 FT
Al Ain
Win 14%
Draw 17%
✓ Win 68%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Premier League · England
Arsenal
3 : 2 FT
Manchester United
✓ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2 : 3 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 59%
Draw 20%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr
1 : 0 FT
Al-Ettifaq
✓ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie A · Italy
Spezia
0 : 2 FT
AS Roma
Win 32%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 43%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Barcelona
1 : 0 FT
Getafe
✓ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 60%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Club Brugge KV
2 : 2 FT
Charleroi
Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Super League 1 · Greece
Panathinaikos
0 : 3 FT
PAOK
Win 30%
Draw 39%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–0 · 15%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Casa Pia
1 : 3 FT
GIL Vicente
Win 40%
Draw 32%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Super League 1 · Greece
Atromitos
1 : 1 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 26%
✓ Draw 37%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
RSC Anderlecht II
3 : 3 FT
K. Lierse S.K.
Win 43%
Draw 23%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
Juventus
3 : 3 FT
Atalanta
Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Athletic Club
0 : 2 FT
Real Madrid
Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
St. Truiden
0 : 3 FT
Gent
Win 32%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 39%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Famalicao
0 : 0 FT
Rio Ave
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Primera División · Chile
Deportes Copiapo
2 : 5 FT
Colo Colo
Win 28%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 46%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primera División · Chile
Universidad de Chile
1 : 3 FT
Huachipato
Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Showing 52 of 52 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 22 January 2023?

52 fixtures met the criteria, led by Alanyaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük at 73% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.