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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 26 November 2021

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

31 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 26 November 2021. Excelsior vs Jong Utrecht sits top on 71% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 71% down to 31%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Taawon
1 : 1 FT
Al-Fayha
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ahli Jeddah
1 : 2 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Piast Gliwice
2 : 1 FT
Nieciecza
✓ Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Crotone
0 : 1 FT
Vicenza Virtus
Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Adana Demirspor
0 : 0 FT
Kasımpaşa
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Başakşehir
0 : 0 FT
Altay
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf
0 : 1 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SSV Jahn Regensburg
3 : 1 FT
Dynamo Dresden
✓ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Premier League · Ukraine
FC Mariupol
0 : 1 FT
Lviv
Win 28%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 45%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
NEC Nijmegen
2 : 3 FT
Cambuur
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
5 : 1 FT
Dordrecht
✓ Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
1 : 0 FT
Jong AZ
✓ Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Excelsior
2 : 1 FT
Jong Utrecht
✓ Win 43%
Draw 22%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
De Graafschap
1 : 3 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 34%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
MVV
1 : 2 FT
Jong PSV U21
Win 42%
Draw 23%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS
1 : 1 FT
Telstar
Win 37%
Draw 25%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Roda
0 : 0 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Volendam
3 : 0 FT
Den Bosch
✓ Win 50%
Draw 22%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Excelsior Virton
0 : 3 FT
SK Beveren
Win 14%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 55%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Bundesliga · Germany
VfB Stuttgart
2 : 1 FT
FSV Mainz 05
✓ Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Wisla Krakow
0 : 1 FT
Radomiak Radom
Win 22%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 56%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Serie B · Italy
Lecce
3 : 3 FT
Ternana
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League Two · England
Colchester
1 : 1 FT
Newport County
Win 30%
Draw 32%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Cagliari
1 : 1 FT
Salernitana
Win 47%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
1 : 3 FT
OH Leuven
Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Premier Division · Ireland
Waterford
1 : 2 FT
UCD
Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
West Brom
0 : 0 FT
Nottingham Forest
Win 38%
Draw 32%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Lens
2 : 2 FT
Angers
Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Athletic Club
2 : 2 FT
Granada CF
Win 37%
Draw 34%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Moreirense
2 : 2 FT
GIL Vicente
Win 32%
Draw 33%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Brazil
Bahia
3 : 1 FT
Gremio
✓ Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%

Showing 31 of 31 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 26 November 2021?

31 fixtures met the criteria, led by Excelsior vs Jong Utrecht at 71% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.