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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 22 October 2021

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

39 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 22 October 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Lech Poznan vs Wisla Plock at 76% in the Ekstraklasa. The shortlist runs from 76% down to 24%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Brazil
Internacional
1 : 1 FT
RB Bragantino
Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Primera División · Chile
Union La Calera
1 : 2 FT
Cobresal
Win 39%
Draw 32%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
Cavalry FC
2 : 1 FT
Pacific FC
Win 31%
Draw 35%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–0 · 15%
Premier League · Ukraine
Desna
1 : 1 FT
Oleksandria
Win 31%
Draw 30%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Ajman
1 : 3 FT
Al-Dhafra
Win 54%
Draw 32%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Sharjah FC
0 : 3 FT
Al Nasr
Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Lahti
0 : 0 FT
AC Oulu
Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Faisaly FC
2 : 2 FT
Al Taawon
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Damac
1 : 0 FT
Al-Hazm
✓ Win 45%
Draw 36%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
SJK
4 : 2 FT
Ilves
✓ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Radomiak Radom
3 : 1 FT
Górnik Łęczna
✓ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Premier League · Russia
Dynamo
4 : 1 FT
Khimki
✓ Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SC Paderborn 07
1 : 2 FT
Hamburger SV
Win 24%
Draw 34%
✓ Win 42%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Erzgebirge AUE
1 : 0 FT
FC Ingolstadt 04
✓ Win 38%
Draw 34%
Win 28%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Torino
3 : 2 FT
Genoa
✓ Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
2 : 1 FT
Al-Jazira
✓ Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Ukraine
FC Kharkiv
4 : 0 FT
Inhulets
✓ Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Yeni Malatyaspor
2 : 1 FT
Altay
Win 30%
Draw 22%
Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC
0 : 2 FT
Al Shabab
Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Willem II
1 : 1 FT
Fortuna Sittard
Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
0 : 2 FT
Excelsior
Win 45%
Draw 22%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Almere City FC
3 : 5 FT
Jong PSV U21
Win 49%
Draw 23%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong AZ
0 : 1 FT
FC Volendam
Win 24%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 52%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Dordrecht
3 : 3 FT
Den Bosch
Win 30%
Draw 31%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
1 : 3 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 53%
Draw 21%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
NAC Breda
3 : 0 FT
MVV
✓ Win 80%
Draw 13%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 72%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Telstar
2 : 2 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
2 : 1 FT
FC OSS
✓ Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
VVV Venlo
1 : 2 FT
De Graafschap
Win 26%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 47%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Royal Excel Mouscron
1 : 1 FT
RWDM
Win 22%
Draw 33%
Win 46%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Germany
FSV Mainz 05
4 : 1 FT
FC Augsburg
✓ Win 45%
Draw 36%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lech Poznan
4 : 1 FT
Wisla Plock
✓ Win 84%
Draw 11%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 76%
Model Score 3–0 · 10%
Serie B · Italy
Alessandria
1 : 0 FT
Crotone
Win 31%
Draw 30%
Win 39%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Sampdoria
2 : 1 FT
Spezia
✓ Win 47%
Draw 21%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
✓ Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Seraing United
1 : 3 FT
Charleroi
Win 39%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier League · England
Arsenal
3 : 1 FT
Aston Villa
✓ Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Saint Etienne
2 : 2 FT
Angers
Win 21%
Draw 35%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
La Liga · Spain
Osasuna
1 : 1 FT
Granada CF
Win 34%
✓ Draw 35%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 67%
Model Score 0–0 · 18%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vitória SC
2 : 1 FT
Maritimo
Win 36%
Draw 39%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%

Showing 39 of 39 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 22 October 2021?

39 fixtures met the criteria, led by Lech Poznan vs Wisla Plock at 76% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.