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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 27 August 2021

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

40 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 27 August 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Borussia Dortmund vs 1899 Hoffenheim at 68% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 68% down to 19%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Chile
O'Higgins
1 : 0 FT
Everton de Vina
Win 27%
Draw 36%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Premier League · Russia
Ural
1 : 1 FT
FC Rostov
Win 20%
Draw 27%
Win 53%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Premier League · Russia
Khimki
1 : 1 FT
Nizhny Novgorod
Win 28%
Draw 28%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
SJK
4 : 0 FT
Haka
✓ Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Stal Mielec
2 : 0 FT
Górnik Łęczna
✓ Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie B · Italy
Pisa
2 : 0 FT
Alessandria
✓ Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Russia
Dynamo
1 : 1 FT
Lokomotiv
Win 32%
Draw 30%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Faisaly FC
1 : 2 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 50%
Draw 33%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Taee
1 : 3 FT
Al-Fayha
Win 42%
Draw 34%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Nürnberg
2 : 1 FT
Karlsruher SC
Win 32%
Draw 39%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SV Sandhausen
0 : 2 FT
FC Ingolstadt 04
Win 39%
Draw 36%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Udinese
3 : 0 FT
Venezia
✓ Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · Ukraine
Chornomorets
2 : 2 FT
Oleksandria
Win 14%
Draw 35%
Win 51%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 18%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Antalyaspor
3 : 2 FT
Rizespor
✓ Win 39%
Draw 35%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Premier League · Russia
FC Krasnodar
2 : 0 FT
Rubin
Win 22%
Draw 29%
Win 49%
Model Score 0–1 · 12%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
0 : 0 FT
Al Baten
Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Fortuna Sittard
2 : 2 FT
Waalwijk
Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Ajax
1 : 2 FT
Excelsior
Win 24%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
1 : 0 FT
Den Bosch
Win 26%
Draw 26%
Win 48%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Emmen
0 : 2 FT
De Graafschap
Win 18%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 58%
✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
NAC Breda
3 : 0 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 24%
Draw 22%
Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Roda
3 : 4 FT
Almere City FC
Win 33%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
3 : 0 FT
Telstar
Win 25%
Draw 25%
Win 50%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Volendam
5 : 0 FT
MVV
Win 22%
Draw 24%
Win 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
VVV Venlo
0 : 1 FT
Jong AZ
Win 30%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 47%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond Sport
1 : 0 FT
Jong PSV U21
Win 27%
Draw 26%
Win 47%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Belenenses
1 : 1 FT
Moreirense
Win 34%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Mallorca
1 : 0 FT
Espanyol
Win 28%
Draw 44%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS No 68%
Model Score 0–0 · 22%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
RWDM
0 : 0 FT
Excelsior Virton
Win 38%
Draw 37%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 62%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Dortmund
3 : 2 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
✓ Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Warta Poznań
1 : 1 FT
Jagiellonia
Win 33%
Draw 31%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Brescia
5 : 1 FT
Cosenza
✓ Win 43%
Draw 32%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 65%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
League One · England
Burton Albion
1 : 1 FT
Cheltenham
Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
League Two · England
Rochdale
1 : 1 FT
Colchester
Win 24%
✓ Draw 40%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
Serie A · Italy
Hellas Verona
1 : 3 FT
Inter
Win 38%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Kortrijk
2 : 2 FT
KV Mechelen
Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Adana Demirspor
1 : 1 FT
Konyaspor
Win 22%
Draw 37%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
Ligue 1 · France
Nantes
0 : 1 FT
Lyon
Win 48%
Draw 32%
Win 20%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Estoril
2 : 1 FT
Maritimo
Win 28%
Draw 37%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
La Liga · Spain
Valencia
3 : 0 FT
Alaves
Win 31%
Draw 43%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS No 67%
Model Score 0–0 · 21%

Showing 40 of 40 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 27 August 2021?

40 fixtures met the criteria, led by Borussia Dortmund vs 1899 Hoffenheim at 68% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.