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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Sunday 14 February 2027

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches clear our threshold on Sunday 14 February 2027. Arouca vs Estoril tops the list at 48% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 48% down to 35%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Primeira Liga supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Arouca
– : – 16:00
Estoril
Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 57%
#2 La Liga · Spain
Real Madrid
– : – 16:00
Athletic Club
Win 70%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 57%
#3 Süper Lig · Turkey
Galatasaray
– : – 12:00
Başakşehir
Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 58%
#4 Serie A · Italy
Cagliari
– : – 17:30
Lazio
Win 16%
Draw 22%
Win 62%
BTTS No 53%
#5 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Benfica
– : – 16:00
Maritimo
Win 75%
Draw 15%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 66%
#6 2. Bundesliga · Germany
SV Darmstadt 98
– : – 12:30
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Win 38%
Draw 33%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 64%
#7 La Liga · Spain
Osasuna
– : – 16:00
Atletico Madrid
Win 23%
Draw 31%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
#8 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Casa Pia
– : – 16:00
Vitória SC
Win 27%
Draw 29%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
#9 La Liga · Spain
Racing Santander
– : – 16:00
Getafe
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 53%
#10 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Rio Ave
– : – 16:00
Santa Clara
Win 17%
Draw 21%
Win 62%
Over 2.5 56%
#11 2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Nürnberg
– : – 12:30
Holstein Kiel
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
#12 Thai League 1 · Thailand
BG Pathum United
– : – 12:00
Bangkok United
Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
#13 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Moreirense
– : – 16:00
FC Porto
Win 20%
Draw 23%
Win 57%
#14 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Nacional
– : – 16:00
Sporting CP
Win 17%
Draw 21%
Win 62%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 53%
#15 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Excelsior
– : – 16:00
Ajax
Win 4%
Draw 7%
Win 89%
Over 2.5 89% BTTS Yes 61%
#16 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Fortuna Sittard
– : – 16:00
ADO Den Haag
Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
#17 La Liga · Spain
Sevilla
– : – 16:00
Espanyol
Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 60%
#18 Süper Lig · Turkey
Gaziantep FK
– : – 12:00
Göztepe
Win 15%
Draw 18%
Win 67%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 57%
#19 Süper Lig · Turkey
Konyaspor
– : – 12:00
Erzurumspor FK
Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
#20 2. Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Bochum
– : – 12:30
Dynamo Dresden
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 14 February 2027?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Arouca vs Estoril at 48% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.