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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Sunday 5 October 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 5 October 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Kryvbas KR vs Kudrivka at 53% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 40%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the clean sheet market — 30%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League · Ukraine
Kryvbas KR
3 : 1 FT
Kudrivka
✓ Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 61%
#2 Premier League · Russia
Baltika
2 : 0 FT
Dinamo Makhachkala
✓ Win 45%
Draw 36%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#3 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Kortrijk
1 : 3 FT
SK Beveren
Win 18%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 53%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 61%
#4 Bundesliga · Austria
SCR Altach
0 : 2 FT
Sturm Graz
Win 19%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 53%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#5 Ligue 1 · France
Lyon
1 : 2 FT
Toulouse
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 59%
#6 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Sigma Olomouc
2 : 0 FT
FK Jablonec
Win 27%
Draw 40%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#7 Serie B · Italy
Modena
2 : 0 FT
Virtus Entella
✓ Win 59%
Draw 29%
Win 12%
#8 Eliteserien · Norway
Bodo/Glimt
2 : 0 FT
Haugesund
✓ Win 85%
Draw 10%
Win 5%
Over 2.5 78%
#9 Serie B · Italy
Sudtirol
1 : 2 FT
Empoli
Win 70%
Draw 22%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 62%
#10 Serie A · Brazil
Vasco DA Gama
4 : 3 FT
Vitoria
✓ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 61%
#11 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Feyenoord
3 : 2 FT
Utrecht
✓ Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 57%
#12 Premier League · Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
1 : 4 FT
LNZ Cherkasy
Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 57%
#13 Ligue 1 · France
Strasbourg
5 : 0 FT
Angers
✓ Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#14 Superettan · Sweden
Trelleborg
2 : 1 FT
GIF Sundsvall
Win 28%
Draw 31%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
#15 Allsvenskan · Sweden
AIK Stockholm
2 : 3 FT
IFK Varnamo
Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#16 Serie B · Italy
Sampdoria
4 : 1 FT
Pescara
Win 38%
Draw 38%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 56%
#17 Serie A · Italy
Fiorentina
1 : 2 FT
AS Roma
Win 24%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 46%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
#18 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Buriram United
2 : 2 FT
BG Pathum United
Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#19 Serie A · Brazil
Sao Paulo
2 : 3 FT
Palmeiras
Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%
#20 K League 1 · South-Korea
Gangwon FC
1 : 1 FT
FC Anyang
Win 42%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 5 October 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Kryvbas KR vs Kudrivka at 53% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.