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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 3 October 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 3 October 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Kolos Kovalivka vs Ruh Lviv at 49% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 49% down to 33%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the clean sheet market — 35%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Kolos Kovalivka
0 : 2 FT
Ruh Lviv
Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil
Flamengo
0 : 0 FT
Cruzeiro
Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#3 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Francs Borains
3 : 3 FT
RSC Anderlecht II
Win 27%
Draw 34%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%
#4 Premier League Β· England
Bournemouth
3 : 1 FT
Fulham
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 57%
#5 La Liga Β· Spain
Osasuna
2 : 1 FT
Getafe
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 57%
#6 Ligue 2 Β· France
Le Mans
2 : 2 FT
Estac Troyes
Win 27%
Draw 30%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
#7 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Seraing United
2 : 3 FT
Lommel United
Win 19%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 56%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
MVV
3 : 1 FT
FC Eindhoven
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
#9 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Trabzonspor
4 : 0 FT
Kayserispor
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 33%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 61%
#10 Ligue 2 Β· France
PAU
3 : 1 FT
Clermont Foot
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 53%
#11 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Vitesse
2 : 0 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 57%
#12 Serie A Β· Italy
Hellas Verona
0 : 1 FT
Sassuolo
Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
#13 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Willem II
1 : 2 FT
Roda
Win 30%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 42%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%
#14 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf
2 : 3 FT
1. FC Nürnberg
Win 28%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 46%
Under 2.5 55%
#15 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Jeju United FC
1 : 1 FT
Jeonbuk Motors
Win 24%
Draw 25%
Win 52%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#16 Ligue 2 Β· France
Amiens
0 : 1 FT
Boulogne
Win 35%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#17 Ligue 1 Β· France
Paris FC
2 : 0 FT
Lorient
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 56%
#18 Championship Β· England
Wrexham
1 : 1 FT
Birmingham
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#19 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Eintracht Braunschweig
1 : 2 FT
SC Paderborn 07
Win 26%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 49%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#20 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Antalyaspor
2 : 5 FT
Rizespor
Win 38%
Draw 33%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 3 October 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Kolos Kovalivka vs Ruh Lviv at 49% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.