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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 4 October 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 4 October 2025. Degerfors IF vs Djurgardens IF sits top on 63% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 63% down to 43%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Degerfors IF
1 : 1 FT
Djurgardens IF
Win 10%
Draw 23%
Win 67%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 70% Djurgardens IF Clean Sheet 63%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
GIL Vicente
2 : 0 FT
Estrela
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 35%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 69%
#3 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Port FC
8 : 0 FT
Kanchanaburi
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 22%
Win 9%
✓ BTTS No 55%
#4 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Mjallby AIF
2 : 0 FT
IF Elfsborg
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#5 Serie A Β· Brazil
Fluminense
3 : 0 FT
Atletico-MG
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#6 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Olympic Charleroi
0 : 1 FT
Lokeren-Temse
Win 15%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 60%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#7 Championship Β· England
Preston
2 : 0 FT
Charlton
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#8 League Two Β· England
Cambridge United
3 : 1 FT
Crawley Town
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 59%
#9 Serie B Β· Italy
Monza
2 : 1 FT
Catanzaro
Win 26%
Draw 43%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 77% BTTS No 65%
#10 Championship Β· England
Millwall
3 : 0 FT
West Brom
Win 19%
Draw 29%
Win 51%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#11 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Polessya
4 : 0 FT
SK Poltava
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#12 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Dortmund
1 : 1 FT
RB Leipzig
Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
BTTS No 54%
#13 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Patro Eisden
2 : 1 FT
K. Lierse S.K.
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 32%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%
#14 Premier League Β· England
Manchester United
2 : 0 FT
Sunderland
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#15 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Kaiserslautern
3 : 2 FT
VfL Bochum
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 15%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 66%
#16 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
HFX Wanderers FC
1 : 1 FT
York United
Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
#17 Serie B Β· Italy
Bari
2 : 1 FT
Padova
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 38%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 56%
#18 League One Β· England
Bolton
2 : 1 FT
Peterborough
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#19 League One Β· England
Lincoln
0 : 1 FT
Exeter City
Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#20 Superettan Β· Sweden
Umeå FC
1 : 0 FT
Helsingborg
Win 21%
Draw 28%
Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 4 October 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Degerfors IF vs Djurgardens IF at 63% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.