Sign in Register
🧀

Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 28 September 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 28 September 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Gremio vs Vitoria at 54% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 39%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Serie A supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the clean sheet market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Brazil
Gremio
3 : 1 FT
Vitoria
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 67% Gremio Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Premier League Β· Russia
Dinamo Makhachkala
0 : 0 FT
FC Sochi
Win 67%
Draw 23%
Win 10%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 59% ✓ Dinamo Makhachkala Clean Sheet 54%
#3 Superettan Β· Sweden
Falkenbergs FF
4 : 0 FT
Ostersunds FK
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
✓ BTTS No 58%
#4 Serie A Β· Italy
Pisa
0 : 0 FT
Fiorentina
Win 22%
Draw 34%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#5 Superettan Β· Sweden
Vasteras SK FK
3 : 0 FT
Sandviken
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
#6 Serie A Β· Brazil
Fluminense
2 : 0 FT
Botafogo
Win 22%
Draw 30%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona
2 : 1 FT
Real Sociedad
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 15%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 67%
#8 Premier League Β· Russia
Spartak Moscow
3 : 0 FT
Nizhny Novgorod
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 27%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#9 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
KAA Gent II
0 : 2 FT
RWDM
Win 23%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#10 Serie A Β· Italy
Sassuolo
3 : 1 FT
Udinese
Win 23%
Draw 32%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
#11 Serie A Β· Italy
AS Roma
2 : 0 FT
Hellas Verona
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#12 Super League 1 Β· Greece
AEK Athens FC
1 : 0 FT
Volos NFC
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#13 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
K. Lierse S.K.
0 : 0 FT
Olympic Charleroi
Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 55%
#14 Serie B Β· Italy
Modena
2 : 1 FT
Pescara
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 30%
Win 15%
#15 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Ruh Lviv
0 : 4 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 19%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 58%
#16 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
AIK Stockholm
1 : 1 FT
Gais
Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%
#17 Premier League Β· Ukraine
FC Kharkiv
1 : 0 FT
Kolos Kovalivka
Win 26%
Draw 28%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#18 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Alverca
2 : 0 FT
Vitória SC
Win 26%
Draw 29%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#19 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
BG Pathum United
2 : 0 FT
Port FC
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 31%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#20 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Legia Warszawa
1 : 0 FT
Pogon Szczecin
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 28 September 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Gremio vs Vitoria at 54% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.