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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Wednesday 1 October 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

15 fixtures cleared the bar on Wednesday 1 October 2025. Atletico-MG vs Juventude sits top on 47% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 47% down to 20%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Serie A supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 53%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A · Brazil
Atletico-MG
0 : 0 FT
Juventude
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
✓ BTTS No 55%
#2 Championship · England
Portsmouth
2 : 2 FT
Watford
Win 39%
Draw 33%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%
#3 Eliteserien · Norway
KFUM Oslo
2 : 1 FT
Fredrikstad
✓ Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 57%
#4 Serie A · Brazil
Mirassol
1 : 1 FT
RB Bragantino
Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#5 Serie B · Italy
Sampdoria
0 : 0 FT
Catanzaro
Win 28%
✓ Draw 37%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 63%
#6 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Pardubice
0 : 1 FT
Baník Ostrava
Win 29%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
#7 Championship · England
Millwall
0 : 4 FT
Coventry
Win 29%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 43%
Under 2.5 53%
#8 Serie A · Brazil
Internacional
1 : 1 FT
Corinthians
Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#9 Serie A · Brazil
Sport Recife
2 : 2 FT
Fluminense
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 54%
#10 Serie B · Italy
Carrarese
0 : 0 FT
Modena
Win 24%
Draw 31%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 61%
#11 Championship · England
QPR
0 : 0 FT
Oxford United
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 55%
#12 Serie B · Italy
Empoli
1 : 1 FT
Monza
Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#13 Serie A · Brazil
Palmeiras
3 : 0 FT
Vasco DA Gama
✓ Win 54%
Draw 21%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 64%
#14 Championship · England
Norwich
0 : 1 FT
West Brom
Win 34%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 41%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 63%
#15 Serie B · Italy
Pescara
1 : 1 FT
Sudtirol
Win 34%
Draw 29%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%

Showing top 15 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Wednesday 1 October 2025?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Atletico-MG vs Juventude at 47% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.