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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Thursday 1 May 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Thursday 1 May 2025. Spezia vs Salernitana led the list at 57% in the Serie B. The shortlist runs from 57% down to 30%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Serie B supplies six of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie B · Italy
Spezia
2 : 0 FT
Salernitana
✓ Win 60%
Draw 28%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Spezia Clean Sheet 57%
#2 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Riyadh
2 : 4 FT
Al Orubah
Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 61%
#3 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Sharjah FC
1 : 2 FT
Baniyas SC
Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 57%
#4 Serie B · Italy
Sassuolo
2 : 0 FT
Carrarese
✓ Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 60%
#5 Serie B · Italy
Cittadella
0 : 1 FT
Brescia
Win 25%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#6 Serie B · Italy
Sampdoria
0 : 0 FT
Cremonese
Win 23%
Draw 32%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#7 Serie B · Italy
Cosenza
1 : 0 FT
Bari
Win 26%
Draw 32%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#8 Super League · China
Shandong Luneng
1 : 1 FT
Qingdao Jonoon
Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#9 Eliteserien · Norway
Rosenborg
1 : 1 FT
Kristiansund BK
Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#10 Serie B · Italy
Modena
2 : 3 FT
Reggiana
Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 54%
#11 Super League · China
Dalian Zhixing
3 : 2 FT
Yunnan Yukun
✓ Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
#12 Premier League · England
Nottingham Forest
0 : 2 FT
Brentford
Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#13 Serie B · Italy
Pisa
1 : 0 FT
Frosinone
✓ Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#14 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Okhdood
1 : 2 FT
Al Wehda Club
Win 31%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 39%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%
#15 Super League · China
Henan Jianye
1 : 2 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#16 Serie B · Italy
Juve Stabia
2 : 0 FT
Catanzaro
✓ Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
BTTS Yes 54%
#17 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Club Brugge KV
4 : 1 FT
Gent
✓ Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#18 Super League · China
Hangzhou Greentown
4 : 2 FT
Changchun Yatai
✓ Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#19 Serie B · Italy
Mantova
3 : 0 FT
Cesena
✓ Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 56%
#20 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Antwerp
1 : 3 FT
Anderlecht
Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Thursday 1 May 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Spezia vs Salernitana at 57% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.