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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 4 May 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 4 May 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Monza vs Atalanta at 58% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 58% down to 40%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Italy
Monza
0 : 4 FT
Atalanta
Win 9%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 71%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Atalanta Clean Sheet 58%
#2 Premier League Β· Russia
Zenit
2 : 1 FT
Nizhny Novgorod
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 21%
Win 6%
BTTS No 59% Zenit Clean Sheet 57%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil
Bahia
1 : 0 FT
Botafogo
Win 37%
Draw 40%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS No 69%
#4 Premier League Β· Russia
Fakel
0 : 0 FT
Spartak Moscow
Win 16%
Draw 33%
Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#5 Primera División Β· Chile
A. Italiano
2 : 1 FT
D. La Serena
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 16%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#6 Ligue 1 Β· France
Nantes
0 : 1 FT
Angers
Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#7 Super League 1 Β· Greece
AEK Athens FC
1 : 2 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 56%
#8 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Djurgardens IF
1 : 1 FT
AIK Stockholm
Win 29%
Draw 33%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%
#9 Ligue 1 Β· France
Stade Brestois 29
1 : 0 FT
Montpellier
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 54%
#10 Superettan Β· Sweden
Orgryte IS
4 : 2 FT
Falkenbergs FF
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 57%
#11 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Kolos Kovalivka
0 : 0 FT
Vorskla Poltava
Win 30%
Draw 33%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#12 Serie A Β· Italy
Empoli
0 : 1 FT
Lazio
Win 19%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#13 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Sociedad
0 : 0 FT
Athletic Club
Win 30%
Draw 33%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#14 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Bohemians 1905
4 : 1 FT
Slovan Liberec
Win 21%
Draw 27%
Win 52%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 56%
#15 Serie A Β· Italy
Bologna
1 : 1 FT
Juventus
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 53%
#16 Serie A Β· Brazil
Cruzeiro
2 : 1 FT
Flamengo
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 35%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 61%
#17 Premier League Β· Russia
Akhmat
1 : 1 FT
CSKA Moscow
Win 23%
Draw 35%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 56%
#18 Serie A Β· Brazil
Gremio
1 : 0 FT
Santos
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#19 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
St. Truiden
2 : 1 FT
Beerschot VA
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#20 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Rosenborg
3 : 0 FT
Bryne
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 4 May 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Monza vs Atalanta at 58% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.