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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Monday 28 April 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

18 fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 28 April 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Panetolikos vs Kallithea at 50% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 50% down to 16%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Serie A supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League 1 · Greece
Panetolikos
0 : 1 FT
Kallithea
Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#2 Championship · England
Leeds
4 : 0 FT
Bristol City
✓ Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 61%
#3 Serie A · Italy
Lazio
2 : 2 FT
Parma
Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%
#4 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
2 : 3 FT
FC Volendam
Win 18%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 55%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
#5 Super League 1 · Greece
Levadiakos
0 : 0 FT
Lamia
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#6 Serie A · Italy
Hellas Verona
0 : 2 FT
Cagliari
Win 28%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#7 Superettan · Sweden
Utsikten
2 : 2 FT
Vasteras SK FK
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
#8 Serie A · Brazil
Santos
1 : 2 FT
RB Bragantino
Win 44%
Draw 32%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 57%
#9 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
VVV Venlo
3 : 1 FT
De Graafschap
✓ Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 56%
#10 Allsvenskan · Sweden
IFK Goteborg
1 : 1 FT
Gais
Win 33%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#11 Serie A · Italy
Udinese
0 : 0 FT
Bologna
Win 34%
Draw 28%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#12 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Ajax
1 : 0 FT
Helmond Sport
✓ Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 58%
#13 Super League 1 · Greece
Volos NFC
3 : 0 FT
Panserraikos
✓ Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 55%
#14 Veikkausliiga · Finland
SJK
2 : 2 FT
Haka
Win 47%
Draw 24%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#15 Süper Lig · Turkey
Göztepe
4 : 1 FT
Başakşehir
✓ Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#16 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong AZ
0 : 0 FT
Den Bosch
Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 64%
#17 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Zaglebie Lubin
2 : 2 FT
Stal Mielec
Win 44%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#18 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
0 : 2 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 24%
Draw 18%
✓ Win 58%
Over 2.5 84% BTTS Yes 79%

Showing top 18 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 28 April 2025?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by Panetolikos vs Kallithea at 50% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.