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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 9 March 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 9 March 2025. Getafe vs Atletico Madrid sits top on 53% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 41%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

La Liga supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga Β· Spain
Getafe
2 : 1 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 20%
Draw 31%
Win 48%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 68%
#2 La Liga Β· Spain
Athletic Club
1 : 1 FT
Mallorca
Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS No 55%
#3 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Ratchaburi
4 : 0 FT
Nong Bua Pitchaya
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
✓ BTTS No 55%
#4 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Madrid
2 : 1 FT
Rayo Vallecano
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 60%
#5 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Boavista
1 : 2 FT
Vitória SC
Win 23%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 46%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 63%
#6 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Pardubice
0 : 0 FT
Plzen
Win 16%
Draw 27%
Win 57%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#7 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Twente
1 : 0 FT
Almere City FC
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#8 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SSV Jahn Regensburg
0 : 0 FT
SC Paderborn 07
Win 20%
Draw 32%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#9 Serie A Β· Italy
Empoli
0 : 1 FT
AS Roma
Win 17%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#10 Serie B Β· Italy
Sassuolo
1 : 1 FT
Bari
Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
#11 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Ulsan Hyundai FC
2 : 0 FT
Jeju United FC
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 36%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#12 Premier League Β· England
Chelsea
1 : 0 FT
Leicester
βœ“ Win 81%
Draw 12%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 73%
#13 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Austria Vienna
2 : 0 FT
Austria Klagenfurt
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 25%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 56%
#14 Bundesliga Β· Austria
SCR Altach
1 : 1 FT
Red Bull Salzburg
Win 28%
βœ“ Draw 40%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 62%
#15 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Uthai Thani
3 : 1 FT
Prachuap
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
#16 Primera División Β· Chile
Coquimbo Unido
1 : 1 FT
Cobresal
Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%
#17 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Kallithea
2 : 1 FT
PAOK
Win 13%
Draw 18%
Win 69%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
#18 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 2 FT
Panserraikos
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 55%
#19 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hannover 96
1 : 1 FT
Eintracht Braunschweig
Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
#20 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
GKS Katowice
1 : 0 FT
Zaglebie Lubin
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 9 March 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Getafe vs Atletico Madrid at 53% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.