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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 9 February 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 9 February 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Telstar vs Jong Utrecht at 51% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 51% down to 37%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Telstar
6 : 0 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 19%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#2 Super League 1 Β· Greece
AEK Athens FC
5 : 0 FT
Panserraikos
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
✓ BTTS No 57%
#3 Championship Β· England
Bristol City
0 : 1 FT
Swansea
Win 65%
Draw 23%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#4 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Sociedad
2 : 1 FT
Espanyol
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 62%
#5 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Casa Pia
1 : 0 FT
Estrela
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#6 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Kortrijk
1 : 2 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 13%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 60%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 55%
#7 Serie B Β· Italy
Spezia
2 : 2 FT
Palermo
Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 53%
#8 Serie A Β· Italy
Napoli
1 : 1 FT
Udinese
Win 52%
Draw 31%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#9 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Lechia Gdansk
1 : 0 FT
Lech Poznan
Win 23%
Draw 30%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#10 La Liga Β· Spain
Alaves
0 : 1 FT
Getafe
Win 28%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#11 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Luzern
3 : 2 FT
FC Winterthur
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
#12 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Lokeren-Temse
0 : 5 FT
RAAL La Louvière
Win 27%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 44%
Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#13 Ligue 1 Β· France
Auxerre
2 : 2 FT
Toulouse
Win 32%
βœ“ Draw 38%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 62%
#14 Serie B Β· Italy
Juve Stabia
3 : 1 FT
Bari
Win 31%
Draw 35%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 62%
#15 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
2 : 0 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 33%
Draw 33%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#16 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
1 : 1 FT
Asteras Tripolis
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#17 Ligue 1 Β· France
Strasbourg
2 : 0 FT
Montpellier
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 54%
#18 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Farense
0 : 2 FT
Nacional
Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#19 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Estoril
2 : 1 FT
Boavista
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 55%
#20 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
KVC Westerlo
4 : 2 FT
Standard Liege
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 32%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 9 February 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Telstar vs Jong Utrecht at 51% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.