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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Tuesday 11 February 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

18 matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 11 February 2025. AFC Wimbledon vs Crewe led the list at 50% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 50% down to 22%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League One supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 61%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two Β· England
AFC Wimbledon
3 : 0 FT
Crewe
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 36%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#2 Championship Β· England
Derby
0 : 0 FT
Oxford United
Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#3 League One Β· England
Birmingham
4 : 0 FT
Cambridge United
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#4 League One Β· England
Charlton
2 : 1 FT
Peterborough
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
BTTS No 54%
#5 League One Β· England
Leyton Orient
3 : 0 FT
Mansfield Town
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#6 League Two Β· England
Walsall
1 : 1 FT
Gillingham
Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 55%
#7 Championship Β· England
Watford
0 : 4 FT
Leeds
Win 25%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 46%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#8 League One Β· England
Crawley Town
3 : 1 FT
Stevenage
Win 29%
Draw 31%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
#9 League One Β· England
Blackpool
0 : 0 FT
Rotherham
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#10 League Two Β· England
Bradford
1 : 0 FT
Accrington ST
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
#11 Championship Β· England
Coventry
1 : 0 FT
QPR
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#12 Championship Β· England
Portsmouth
2 : 1 FT
Cardiff
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#13 League One Β· England
Reading
1 : 1 FT
Shrewsbury
Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
#14 League Two Β· England
Newport County
1 : 0 FT
Carlisle
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
BTTS Yes 54%
#15 Championship Β· England
Norwich
0 : 1 FT
Preston
Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 62%
#16 League One Β· England
Bristol Rovers
1 : 1 FT
Stockport County
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#17 League Two Β· England
Tranmere
0 : 0 FT
Fleetwood Town
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 60%
#18 League Two Β· England
Barrow
2 : 1 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 22%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%

Showing top 18 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 11 February 2025?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by AFC Wimbledon vs Crewe at 50% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.