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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Sunday 4 August 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 4 August 2024. Osters IF vs IK brage sits top on 57% in the Superettan. The shortlist runs from 57% down to 35%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the clean sheet market — 35%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Superettan · Sweden
Osters IF
0 : 2 FT
IK brage
Win 61%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 66% Osters IF Clean Sheet 57%
#2 Serie A · Brazil
Atletico Goianiense
1 : 4 FT
Botafogo
Win 17%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 59%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 55%
#3 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Hradec Králové
2 : 1 FT
Mlada Boleslav
✓ Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
#4 Eliteserien · Norway
Ham-Kam
3 : 3 FT
Viking
Win 26%
Draw 30%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 59%
#5 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Legia Warszawa
1 : 2 FT
Piast Gliwice
Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
#6 Super League · China
Nantong Zhiyun
1 : 1 FT
Henan Jianye
Win 23%
Draw 28%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 55%
#7 Serie A · Brazil
Corinthians
1 : 1 FT
Juventude
Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 54%
#8 Primera División · Chile
Universidad de Chile
1 : 0 FT
Deportes Copiapo
✓ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#9 Veikkausliiga · Finland
EIF
1 : 2 FT
Haka
Win 16%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#10 Premier League · Russia
Fakel
0 : 0 FT
FC Krasnodar
Win 26%
Draw 36%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#11 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Gent
1 : 2 FT
Dender
Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
#12 Serie A · Brazil
Atletico Paranaense
0 : 2 FT
Gremio
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
#13 Premier League · Ukraine
Zorya Luhansk
2 : 1 FT
Inhulets
✓ Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#14 Premier League · Ukraine
LNZ Cherkasy
1 : 0 FT
Livyi Bereh
✓ Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#15 Veikkausliiga · Finland
Gnistan
3 : 0 FT
VPS
Win 20%
Draw 25%
Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 54%
#16 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Djurgardens IF
1 : 1 FT
IFK Goteborg
Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#17 Serie A · Brazil
Internacional
1 : 1 FT
Palmeiras
Win 31%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
#18 Superettan · Sweden
Skövde AIK
0 : 2 FT
Orgryte IS
Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#19 Super League · China
Beijing Guoan
2 : 1 FT
Shanghai Shenhua
Win 27%
Draw 27%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 54%
#20 Super League · Switzerland
Lausanne
3 : 4 FT
FC ST. Gallen
Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 4 August 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Osters IF vs IK brage at 57% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.