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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 22 October 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 22 October 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Bologna vs Frosinone at 56% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 40%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Serie A supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the clean sheet market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Italy
Bologna
2 : 1 FT
Frosinone
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 31%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 67% Bologna Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Halmstad
1 : 1 FT
Mjallby AIF
Win 18%
Draw 28%
Win 55%
✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 64%
#3 Super League 1 Β· Greece
PAOK
2 : 0 FT
Atromitos
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 23%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#4 Serie A Β· Italy
Atalanta
2 : 0 FT
Genoa
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#5 Premier League Β· Russia
Ural
1 : 4 FT
FC Sochi
Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 58%
#6 Premier League Β· Russia
Spartak Moscow
2 : 0 FT
Nizhny Novgorod
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#7 Serie A Β· Brazil
Flamengo
1 : 0 FT
Vasco DA Gama
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#8 La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona
1 : 0 FT
Athletic Club
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#9 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Port FC
3 : 2 FT
Lamphun Warrior
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 15%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 67%
#10 Serie A Β· Brazil
RB Bragantino
1 : 0 FT
Fluminense
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 54%
#11 Serie B Β· Italy
Sampdoria
2 : 0 FT
Cosenza
Win 16%
Draw 32%
Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#12 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha
4 : 0 FT
České Budějovice
βœ“ Win 81%
Draw 12%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 54%
#13 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico-MG
0 : 1 FT
Cruzeiro
Win 37%
Draw 35%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#14 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Riyadh
1 : 0 FT
Al-Ettifaq
Win 19%
Draw 24%
Win 57%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#15 Serie B Β· Italy
Reggiana
1 : 0 FT
Venezia
Win 20%
Draw 34%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#16 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Fenerbahçe
4 : 2 FT
Hatayspor
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#17 Ligue 1 Β· France
Monaco
2 : 1 FT
Metz
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#18 Superettan Β· Sweden
IK brage
4 : 0 FT
AFC Eskilstuna
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 54%
#19 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Rosenborg
1 : 1 FT
Stabaek
Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 58%
#20 Serie A Β· Brazil
Botafogo
1 : 1 FT
Atletico Paranaense
Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 22 October 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bologna vs Frosinone at 56% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.