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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Tuesday 24 October 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Tuesday 24 October 2023. Blackpool vs Cheltenham sits top on 51% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 51% down to 34%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League One supplies five of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One · England
Blackpool
3 : 2 FT
Cheltenham
✓ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 62%
#2 League One · England
Lincoln
3 : 1 FT
Charlton
✓ Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 63%
#3 League One · England
Carlisle
2 : 1 FT
Burton Albion
Win 26%
Draw 32%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 64%
#4 League Two · England
Morecambe
1 : 0 FT
Tranmere
✓ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#5 Serie B · Italy
Pisa
1 : 2 FT
Lecco
Win 51%
Draw 31%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 53%
#6 League Two · England
Swindon Town
0 : 1 FT
Gillingham
Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 55%
#7 League One · England
Barnsley
3 : 0 FT
Shrewsbury
✓ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
#8 Championship · England
West Brom
2 : 0 FT
QPR
✓ Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#9 League One · England
Reading
1 : 2 FT
Fleetwood Town
Win 38%
Draw 32%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%
#10 Serie B · Italy
Brescia
0 : 1 FT
Modena
Win 29%
Draw 39%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#11 League One · England
Northampton
2 : 2 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
#12 League One · England
Cambridge United
0 : 0 FT
Portsmouth
Win 24%
Draw 26%
Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#13 League One · England
Derby
2 : 0 FT
Exeter City
✓ Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#14 Superettan · Sweden
Orebro SK
0 : 1 FT
GIF Sundsvall
Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 57%
#15 League Two · England
Milton Keynes Dons
4 : 1 FT
Bradford
Win 28%
Draw 28%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
#16 League Two · England
Grimsby
2 : 3 FT
Colchester
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
#17 League One · England
Port Vale
0 : 1 FT
Peterborough
Win 32%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#18 League Two · England
Harrogate Town
1 : 4 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 23%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 53%
#19 Championship · England
Swansea
0 : 1 FT
Watford
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%
#20 League One · England
Wigan
2 : 0 FT
Oxford United
Win 23%
Draw 23%
Win 54%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 24 October 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Blackpool vs Cheltenham at 51% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.