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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Monday 23 October 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Monday 23 October 2023. Fiorentina vs Empoli led the list at 44% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 44% down to 22%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the clean sheet market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Italy
Fiorentina
0 : 2 FT
Empoli
Win 78%
Draw 15%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 53%
#2 Premier Division Β· Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
1 : 0 FT
Sligo Rovers
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 54%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
3 : 4 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 27%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 42%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
#4 Super League Β· China
Chengdu Better City
4 : 0 FT
Shenzhen Ruby FC
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 14%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 54%
#5 Ligue 2 Β· France
Laval
0 : 1 FT
Saint Etienne
Win 40%
Draw 32%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#6 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Varnamo
3 : 1 FT
IFK Goteborg
βœ“ Win 35%
Draw 33%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 64%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain
Valencia
2 : 0 FT
Cadiz
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#8 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Trabzonspor
1 : 0 FT
Alanyaspor
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 55%
#9 Serie B Β· Italy
Palermo
2 : 2 FT
Spezia
Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
#10 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IF Elfsborg
3 : 0 FT
AIK Stockholm
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
#11 Serie A Β· Italy
Udinese
1 : 1 FT
Lecce
Win 28%
Draw 29%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#12 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC OSS
2 : 0 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
BTTS Yes 53%
#13 Premier League Β· England
Tottenham
2 : 0 FT
Fulham
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%
#14 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Helmond Sport
1 : 1 FT
Dordrecht
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#15 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Groningen
0 : 0 FT
Emmen
Win 32%
Draw 26%
Win 43%
BTTS Yes 55%
#16 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Stal Mielec
0 : 1 FT
Warta Poznań
Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
#17 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Fatih Karagümrük
2 : 0 FT
Adana Demirspor
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 60%
#18 Superettan Β· Sweden
Jonkopings Sodra
2 : 2 FT
Skövde AIK
Win 54%
Draw 22%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#19 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong AZ
3 : 0 FT
De Graafschap
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 22%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 66%
#20 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Ajax
0 : 0 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 35%
Draw 24%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 64%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 23 October 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Fiorentina vs Empoli at 44% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.