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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 7 October 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 7 October 2023. Saint Etienne vs Ajaccio sits top on 58% in the Ligue 2. The shortlist runs from 58% down to 41%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Ligue 2 supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the clean sheet market — 35%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 2 · France
Saint Etienne
0 : 0 FT
Ajaccio
Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 67% ✓ Saint Etienne Clean Sheet 58%
#2 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Zaglebie Lubin
1 : 1 FT
Piast Gliwice
Win 39%
Draw 38%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 81% BTTS No 72% Zaglebie Lubin Clean Sheet 54%
#3 Superettan · Sweden
Vasteras SK FK
3 : 1 FT
Jonkopings Sodra
✓ Win 69%
Draw 22%
Win 10%
BTTS No 59% Vasteras SK FK Clean Sheet 54%
#4 League One · England
Cheltenham
1 : 1 FT
Derby
Win 9%
Draw 17%
Win 74%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS No 56%
#5 Ligue 2 · France
Guingamp
2 : 2 FT
Grenoble
Win 43%
Draw 33%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 69%
#6 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Radomiak Radom
3 : 0 FT
ŁKS Łódź
✓ Win 55%
Draw 29%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#7 Ligue 2 · France
Amiens
1 : 4 FT
Angers
Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 62%
#8 Premier League · Russia
FC Krasnodar
3 : 2 FT
FC Rostov
✓ Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 55%
#9 Serie A · Brazil
Goias
4 : 6 FT
Bahia
Win 42%
Draw 34%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 66%
#10 League Two · England
Crawley Town
0 : 1 FT
Wrexham
Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#11 Serie B · Italy
Ascoli
1 : 1 FT
Sampdoria
Win 45%
Draw 36%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
#12 League One · England
Exeter City
0 : 1 FT
Barnsley
Win 15%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 62%
✓ BTTS No 55%
#13 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Okhdood
0 : 3 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 13%
Draw 20%
✓ Win 66%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#14 Bundesliga · Austria
Austria Lustenau
0 : 5 FT
Rapid Vienna
Win 10%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 65%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#15 League One · England
Charlton
2 : 2 FT
Blackpool
Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
BTTS No 54%
#16 Premier League · Ukraine
Dnipro-1
2 : 0 FT
Veres Rivne
✓ Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#17 League One · England
Bolton
1 : 3 FT
Carlisle
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
#18 Serie A · Italy
Inter
2 : 2 FT
Bologna
Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 54%
#19 Ligue 2 · France
Concarneau
4 : 3 FT
Dunkerque
✓ Win 35%
Draw 33%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 64%
#20 La Liga · Spain
Mallorca
1 : 1 FT
Valencia
Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 7 October 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Saint Etienne vs Ajaccio at 58% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.