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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Thursday 5 October 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

Four fixtures cleared the bar on Thursday 5 October 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Damac vs Al-Hazm at 36% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 36% down to 17%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Pro League supplies four of the top 4, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the four fixtures on this list that have since finished, one landed the clean sheet market — 25%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Damac
4 : 1 FT
Al-Hazm
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Riyadh
2 : 2 FT
Al Shabab
Win 26%
Draw 25%
Win 48%
#3 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Taawon
3 : 0 FT
Al Taee
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 60%
#4 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
1 : 2 FT
Al-Fateh
Win 43%
Draw 22%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%

Showing top 4 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Thursday 5 October 2023?

four fixtures met the criteria, led by Damac vs Al-Hazm at 36% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.