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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Tuesday 26 September 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 26 September 2023. Amiens vs Ajaccio led the list at 54% in the Ligue 2. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 30%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Ligue 2 supplies six of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the clean sheet market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 2 · France
Amiens
0 : 0 FT
Ajaccio
Win 65%
Draw 23%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 61% ✓ Amiens Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Ligue 2 · France
Caen
1 : 2 FT
Grenoble
Win 44%
Draw 33%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%
#3 Ligue 2 · France
Guingamp
0 : 0 FT
Bordeaux
Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#4 Serie B · Italy
Spezia
0 : 0 FT
Brescia
Win 18%
Draw 31%
Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#5 Ligue 2 · France
Auxerre
4 : 0 FT
Annecy
Win 23%
Draw 29%
Win 48%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#6 Süper Lig · Turkey
İstanbulspor
0 : 1 FT
Galatasaray
Win 15%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 54%
#7 Serie B · Italy
Ascoli
2 : 0 FT
Ternana
✓ Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
#8 Ligue 2 · France
Paris FC
0 : 1 FT
Laval
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#9 Ligue 2 · France
Rodez
2 : 1 FT
Estac Troyes
✓ Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
#10 Super League · Switzerland
FC Zurich
2 : 1 FT
Grasshoppers
✓ Win 61%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#11 Ligue 1 · France
Lille
1 : 2 FT
Reims
Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
#12 Ligue 2 · France
Quevilly
0 : 1 FT
Angers
Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#13 Serie B · Italy
Venezia
1 : 3 FT
Palermo
Win 37%
Draw 35%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 54%
#14 Serie B · Italy
Reggiana
0 : 0 FT
Pisa
Win 24%
Draw 31%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#15 Serie B · Italy
Lecco
1 : 2 FT
Feralpisalo
Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#16 Serie A · Italy
Juventus
1 : 0 FT
Lecce
✓ Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
BTTS Yes 54%
#17 Serie B · Italy
Cosenza
1 : 2 FT
Cremonese
Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#18 La Liga · Spain
Mallorca
2 : 2 FT
Barcelona
Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 59%
#19 Serie A · Brazil
America Mineiro
0 : 1 FT
Vasco DA Gama
Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#20 Ligue 2 · France
Valenciennes
0 : 1 FT
Concarneau
Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 26 September 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Amiens vs Ajaccio at 54% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.