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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Sunday 16 July 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 16 July 2023. The strongest reading belongs to IF Elfsborg vs IFK Goteborg at 55% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 55% down to 35%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Serie A supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the clean sheet market — 30%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Allsvenskan · Sweden
IF Elfsborg
1 : 1 FT
IFK Goteborg
Win 71%
Draw 21%
Win 8%
BTTS No 59% IF Elfsborg Clean Sheet 55%
#2 Super League · China
Shenzhen Ruby FC
1 : 4 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 10%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 69%
BTTS No 57%
#3 Serie A · Brazil
Sao Paulo
4 : 1 FT
Santos
✓ Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 60%
#4 Serie A · Brazil
Fortaleza EC
0 : 1 FT
Cuiaba
Win 50%
Draw 31%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#5 Serie A · Brazil
Botafogo
2 : 0 FT
RB Bragantino
✓ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#6 Canadian Premier League · Canada
Atlético Ottawa
3 : 1 FT
Vancouver FC
✓ Win 48%
Draw 33%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 63%
#7 Superettan · Sweden
Gais
1 : 1 FT
Gefle IF
Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 60%
#8 Eliteserien · Norway
Bodo/Glimt
2 : 1 FT
Haugesund
✓ Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
BTTS No 55%
#9 Serie A · Brazil
Atletico Paranaense
2 : 0 FT
Bahia
✓ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#10 Superettan · Sweden
AFC Eskilstuna
2 : 1 FT
IK brage
✓ Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 61%
#11 Veikkausliiga · Finland
Lahti
1 : 1 FT
SJK
Win 19%
Draw 29%
Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 57%
#12 Super League · China
Nantong Zhiyun
1 : 1 FT
Shandong Luneng
Win 18%
Draw 28%
Win 54%
✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%
#13 K League 1 · South-Korea
Jeonbuk Motors
1 : 0 FT
Suwon City FC
✓ Win 72%
Draw 19%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 56%
#14 Primera División · Chile
Magallanes
1 : 1 FT
Nublense
Win 26%
Draw 28%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
#15 Eliteserien · Norway
Rosenborg
2 : 1 FT
Tromso
Win 23%
Draw 26%
Win 52%
Under 2.5 53%
#16 Canadian Premier League · Canada
Forge
1 : 1 FT
Valour
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#17 Eliteserien · Norway
Lillestrom
4 : 2 FT
Sandefjord
✓ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#18 Serie A · Brazil
Internacional
0 : 0 FT
Palmeiras
Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#19 Super League · China
Hangzhou Greentown
2 : 1 FT
Tianjin Teda
Win 32%
Draw 33%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%
#20 K League 1 · South-Korea
Incheon United
2 : 0 FT
Daejeon Citizen
Win 32%
Draw 34%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 16 July 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by IF Elfsborg vs IFK Goteborg at 55% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.