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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Sunday 19 February 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 19 February 2023. Barcelona vs Cadiz sits top on 58% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 58% down to 38%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the clean sheet market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga · Spain
Barcelona
2 : 0 FT
Cadiz
✓ Win 71%
Draw 20%
Win 10%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Barcelona Clean Sheet 58%
#2 Bundesliga · Germany
Union Berlin
0 : 0 FT
FC Schalke 04
Win 67%
Draw 24%
Win 9%
✓ BTTS No 58%
#3 Serie A · Italy
AS Roma
1 : 0 FT
Hellas Verona
✓ Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#4 Super League 1 · Greece
Lamia
0 : 3 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 9%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 65%
✓ BTTS No 56%
#5 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Cambuur
1 : 2 FT
Heerenveen
Win 16%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 50%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 59%
#6 Primeira Liga · Portugal
SC Braga
2 : 0 FT
Arouca
✓ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#7 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Excelsior
0 : 3 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 33%
Draw 40%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#8 Super League 1 · Greece
Panetolikos
1 : 0 FT
Ionikos
Win 27%
Draw 41%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#9 Ligue 1 · France
Lens
3 : 1 FT
Nantes
✓ Win 42%
Draw 34%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 58%
#10 Primera División · Chile
O'Higgins
0 : 1 FT
Universidad de Chile
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
#11 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Sukhothai FC
1 : 1 FT
Lampang FC
Win 40%
Draw 34%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 58%
#12 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Lamphun Warrior
0 : 0 FT
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Win 48%
Draw 31%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#13 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Kortrijk
2 : 2 FT
Anderlecht
Win 19%
Draw 29%
Win 52%
Under 2.5 54%
#14 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slovácko
2 : 0 FT
Plzen
Win 25%
Draw 32%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#15 Primera División · Chile
Colo Colo
1 : 1 FT
Everton de Vina
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#16 La Liga · Spain
Atletico Madrid
1 : 0 FT
Athletic Club
✓ Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#17 Ligue 1 · France
Lorient
3 : 0 FT
Ajaccio
✓ Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 54%
#18 Serie A · Italy
Atalanta
1 : 2 FT
Lecce
Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
#19 Serie A · Italy
Salernitana
0 : 2 FT
Lazio
Win 21%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 55%
#20 Ligue 1 · France
Rennes
2 : 0 FT
Clermont Foot
✓ Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 19 February 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Barcelona vs Cadiz at 58% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.