Sign in Register
🧀

Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Tuesday 21 February 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

Eleven fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 21 February 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Blackburn vs Blackpool at 46% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 46% down to 23%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Championship supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the clean sheet market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England
Blackburn
1 : 0 FT
Blackpool
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#2 League Two Β· England
Rochdale
1 : 2 FT
Stockport County
Win 20%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 54%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 57%
#3 League Two Β· England
Walsall
0 : 0 FT
Crewe
Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#4 League One Β· England
Fleetwood Town
1 : 0 FT
Cambridge United
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#5 League Two Β· England
Grimsby
0 : 0 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 27%
Draw 26%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#6 League Two Β· England
Hartlepool
0 : 1 FT
Newport County
Win 30%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#7 League One Β· England
Morecambe
1 : 0 FT
Port Vale
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 55%
#8 Championship Β· England
Rotherham
2 : 1 FT
Sunderland
Win 25%
Draw 25%
Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#9 Championship Β· England
Swansea
1 : 3 FT
Stoke City
Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#10 Championship Β· England
Millwall
1 : 1 FT
Burnley
Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#11 Championship Β· England
Norwich
3 : 1 FT
Birmingham
Win 35%
Draw 25%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 11 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 21 February 2023?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Blackburn vs Blackpool at 46% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.