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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 31 December 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 31 December 2022. Meizhou Kejia vs Guangzhou Evergrande FC led the list at 50% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 50% down to 24%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Super League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China
Meizhou Kejia
1 : 0 FT
Guangzhou Evergrande FC
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 27%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#2 La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona
1 : 1 FT
Espanyol
Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 57%
#3 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Khaleej Saihat
0 : 1 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 14%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 64%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#4 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Taee
4 : 0 FT
Al Baten
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
#5 Premier League Β· England
Manchester City
1 : 1 FT
Everton
Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 63%
#6 Super League Β· China
Hangzhou Greentown
4 : 0 FT
Wuhan Zall
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Sociedad
2 : 0 FT
Osasuna
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 33%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#8 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Abha
1 : 2 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 28%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 44%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 53%
#9 Super League Β· China
Shandong Luneng
3 : 0 FT
Beijing Guoan
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 59%
#10 Premier League Β· England
Bournemouth
0 : 2 FT
Crystal Palace
Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#11 Premier League Β· England
Brighton
2 : 4 FT
Arsenal
Win 29%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 41%
Under 2.5 59%
#12 Super League Β· China
SHANGHAI SIPG
4 : 0 FT
Changchun Yatai
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 56%
#13 Premier League Β· England
Newcastle
0 : 0 FT
Leeds
Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 58%
#14 Super League Β· China
Chengdu Better City
3 : 0 FT
Dalian Aerbin
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 56%
#15 La Liga Β· Spain
Villarreal
2 : 1 FT
Valencia
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 54%
#16 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2 : 2 FT
Damac
Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
#17 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Raed
2 : 3 FT
Al Taawon
Win 30%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 42%
Under 2.5 54%
#18 Premier League Β· England
Fulham
2 : 1 FT
Southampton
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#19 Premier League Β· England
Wolves
0 : 1 FT
Manchester United
Win 31%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 44%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
#20 Super League Β· China
Guangzhou R&F
1 : 4 FT
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
Win 23%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 31 December 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Meizhou Kejia vs Guangzhou Evergrande FC at 50% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.