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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Thursday 29 December 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Thursday 29 December 2022. Sutton Utd vs Gillingham sits top on 60% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 60% down to 36%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League Two supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two Β· England
Sutton Utd
2 : 1 FT
Gillingham
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 31%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 72% Sutton Utd Clean Sheet 60%
#2 Championship Β· England
Huddersfield
2 : 0 FT
Rotherham
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#3 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Sporting CP
3 : 0 FT
Pacos Ferreira
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#4 League Two Β· England
Barrow
1 : 2 FT
Tranmere
Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
#5 League One Β· England
Shrewsbury
0 : 1 FT
Cheltenham
Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#6 League One Β· England
Sheffield Wednesday
2 : 0 FT
Port Vale
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
#7 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
GIL Vicente
1 : 0 FT
Santa Clara
βœ“ Win 34%
Draw 33%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#8 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Sivasspor
1 : 2 FT
Galatasaray
Win 17%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 58%
#9 League Two Β· England
Grimsby
1 : 4 FT
Salford City
Win 24%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 48%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
#10 League Two Β· England
Hartlepool
1 : 2 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 23%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 50%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
#11 Championship Β· England
Blackpool
1 : 2 FT
Sheffield Utd
Win 25%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 48%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%
#12 Ligue 1 Β· France
Nice
0 : 0 FT
Lens
Win 27%
Draw 32%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#13 Championship Β· England
Wigan
1 : 4 FT
Sunderland
Win 22%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 52%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 53%
#14 Ligue 1 Β· France
Marseille
6 : 1 FT
Toulouse
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
#15 Championship Β· England
Coventry
0 : 0 FT
Cardiff
Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#16 League Two Β· England
Colchester
1 : 2 FT
AFC Wimbledon
Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
#17 League One Β· England
Plymouth
1 : 0 FT
Wycombe
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#18 League Two Β· England
Doncaster
4 : 3 FT
Rochdale
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
#19 League One Β· England
Morecambe
2 : 0 FT
Accrington ST
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#20 League Two Β· England
Northampton
1 : 2 FT
Swindon Town
Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Thursday 29 December 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sutton Utd vs Gillingham at 60% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.