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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Monday 2 January 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Monday 2 January 2023. Stevenage vs Gillingham led the list at 65% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 65% down to 18%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League Two supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two Β· England
Stevenage
1 : 0 FT
Gillingham
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 20%
Win 8%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 71% ✓ Stevenage Clean Sheet 65%
#2 League One Β· England
Derby
4 : 0 FT
Accrington ST
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#3 League One Β· England
Sheffield Wednesday
5 : 0 FT
Cambridge United
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 55%
#4 Championship Β· England
West Brom
1 : 0 FT
Reading
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
#5 Championship Β· England
QPR
1 : 1 FT
Sheffield Utd
Win 22%
Draw 26%
Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%
#6 Championship Β· England
Wigan
1 : 4 FT
Hull City
Win 19%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 58%
#7 League Two Β· England
Newport County
2 : 2 FT
Crawley Town
Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
#8 Ligue 1 Β· France
Rennes
2 : 1 FT
Nice
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
#9 League Two Β· England
Northampton
1 : 0 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 32%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#10 League One Β· England
Barnsley
0 : 3 FT
Bolton
Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 57%
#11 League Two Β· England
Barrow
0 : 0 FT
Rochdale
Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
BTTS Yes 53%
#12 Championship Β· England
Norwich
0 : 1 FT
Watford
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#13 Championship Β· England
Stoke City
0 : 1 FT
Preston
Win 28%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 46%
#14 Ligue 1 Β· France
Montpellier
1 : 2 FT
Marseille
Win 24%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#15 League One Β· England
Lincoln
1 : 1 FT
Ipswich
Win 34%
Draw 28%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#16 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lille
1 : 1 FT
Reims
Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#17 Championship Β· England
Swansea
1 : 2 FT
Burnley
Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#18 Championship Β· England
Birmingham
1 : 3 FT
Middlesbrough
Win 36%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#19 Premier League Β· England
Brentford
3 : 1 FT
Liverpool
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#20 Ligue 1 Β· France
Strasbourg
2 : 3 FT
Estac Troyes
Win 38%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 2 January 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Stevenage vs Gillingham at 65% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.