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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 5 November 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 5 November 2022. Barcelona vs Almeria led the list at 63% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 63% down to 42%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Serie A supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona
2 : 0 FT
Almeria
βœ“ Win 83%
Draw 12%
Win 5%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ Barcelona Clean Sheet 63%
#2 Ligue 2 Β· France
Annecy
2 : 1 FT
Sochaux
Win 15%
Draw 28%
Win 57%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 69% Sochaux Clean Sheet 58%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil
Santos
1 : 1 FT
Avai
Win 72%
Draw 19%
Win 9%
✓ Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 64% Santos Clean Sheet 58%
#4 Serie A Β· Italy
AC Milan
2 : 1 FT
Spezia
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 17%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS No 59% AC Milan Clean Sheet 55%
#5 Serie B Β· Italy
Frosinone
1 : 0 FT
Perugia
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 30%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#6 Serie A Β· Brazil
Corinthians
1 : 0 FT
Ceara
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 33%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#7 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Seraing United
1 : 2 FT
St. Truiden
Win 20%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 50%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 64%
#8 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Lamia
2 : 2 FT
Volos NFC
Win 16%
Draw 34%
Win 50%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
#9 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Wahda FC
3 : 0 FT
Dibba Al-Fujairah
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 56%
#10 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
FC Porto
4 : 0 FT
Pacos Ferreira
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#11 Ligue 2 Β· France
Valenciennes
1 : 1 FT
Caen
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 56%
#12 Ligue 2 Β· France
Bastia
0 : 1 FT
Paris FC
Win 29%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#13 Ligue 1 Β· France
Angers
1 : 2 FT
Lens
Win 19%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 53%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 56%
#14 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Dortmund
3 : 0 FT
VfL Bochum
βœ“ Win 84%
Draw 10%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 54%
#15 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Raków Częstochowa
7 : 1 FT
Wisla Plock
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 54%
#16 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Cracovia Krakow
1 : 0 FT
Jagiellonia
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#17 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Oleksandria
4 : 1 FT
Kolos Kovalivka
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
BTTS No 53%
#18 Ligue 2 Β· France
Nimes
1 : 0 FT
Bordeaux
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 33%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#19 Serie B Β· Italy
Pisa
3 : 1 FT
Cosenza
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 53%
#20 Serie B Β· Italy
Sudtirol
2 : 2 FT
Cagliari
Win 38%
Draw 33%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 5 November 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Barcelona vs Almeria at 63% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.