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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 4 November 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 4 November 2022. The strongest reading belongs to SHANGHAI SIPG vs Dalian Aerbin at 51% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 51% down to 31%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China
SHANGHAI SIPG
2 : 1 FT
Dalian Aerbin
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS No 56%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil
Goias
1 : 0 FT
Juventude
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#3 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
GIL Vicente
1 : 2 FT
Portimonense
Win 39%
Draw 33%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 66%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
MVV
4 : 0 FT
Helmond Sport
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 15%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 66%
#5 Serie A Β· Italy
Udinese
1 : 1 FT
Lecce
Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
#6 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Vorskla Poltava
1 : 0 FT
Lviv
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#7 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Ain
2 : 1 FT
Khorfakkan
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 64%
#8 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Bataeh
0 : 6 FT
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Win 21%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 55%
Under 2.5 54%
#9 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Cambuur
0 : 1 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 30%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#10 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
NAC Breda
1 : 1 FT
Telstar
Win 30%
Draw 30%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
#11 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Genk
4 : 1 FT
Charleroi
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#12 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Legia Warszawa
2 : 1 FT
Lechia Gdansk
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#13 Premier League Β· Russia
Khimki
2 : 0 FT
FC Orenburg
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 57%
#14 Championship Β· England
Reading
1 : 2 FT
Preston
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 57%
#15 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
RSC Anderlecht II
3 : 0 FT
Standard Liège II
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 54%
#16 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Darmstadt 98
1 : 0 FT
Hannover 96
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 55%
#17 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Dender
0 : 1 FT
RWDM
Win 17%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 61%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 62%
#18 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hansa Rostock
0 : 1 FT
SV Sandhausen
Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#19 Serie A Β· Brazil
RB Bragantino
1 : 4 FT
America Mineiro
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 54%
#20 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Stal Mielec
3 : 0 FT
Zaglebie Lubin
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 4 November 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by SHANGHAI SIPG vs Dalian Aerbin at 51% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.