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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Friday 14 October 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 14 October 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Tranmere vs Crewe at 53% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 27%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the clean sheet market — 25%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two · England
Tranmere
3 : 0 FT
Crewe
✓ Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#2 Premier League · Ukraine
Minai
1 : 1 FT
Veres Rivne
Win 24%
Draw 31%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 64%
#3 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Wisla Plock
2 : 1 FT
Legia Warszawa
✓ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 57%
#4 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Almere City FC
2 : 3 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
BTTS No 54%
#5 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Emmen
1 : 1 FT
FC Volendam
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
#6 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 1 FT
Sukhothai FC
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
#7 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
SK Beveren
2 : 1 FT
Deinze
✓ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
NAC Breda
1 : 2 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
#9 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Telstar
2 : 1 FT
Roda
Win 15%
Draw 19%
Win 66%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#10 Premier Division · Ireland
Finn Harps
1 : 2 FT
Dundalk
Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#11 Premier Division · Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
3 : 1 FT
Bohemians
✓ Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
#12 Serie B · Italy
Venezia
1 : 3 FT
Frosinone
Win 32%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 39%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#13 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
VVV Venlo
0 : 1 FT
Dordrecht
Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
#14 Allsvenskan · Sweden
IF Elfsborg
1 : 1 FT
Degerfors IF
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#15 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
2 : 1 FT
FC OSS
✓ Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#16 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
De Graafschap
2 : 0 FT
Jong Utrecht
✓ Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
#17 2. Bundesliga · Germany
FC St. Pauli
3 : 0 FT
Hamburger SV
Win 30%
Draw 28%
Win 42%
BTTS Yes 55%
#18 Ligue 1 · France
Strasbourg
0 : 3 FT
Lille
Win 30%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 43%
BTTS Yes 55%
#19 2. Bundesliga · Germany
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2 : 2 FT
Hansa Rostock
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#20 Premier League · Russia
FC Rostov
1 : 2 FT
Ural
Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 14 October 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Tranmere vs Crewe at 53% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.