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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 16 October 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 16 October 2022. Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Wehda Club led the list at 64% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 64% down to 40%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC
1 : 0 FT
Al Wehda Club
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 22%
Win 9%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 70% ✓ Al-Ittihad FC Clean Sheet 64%
#2 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Betis
3 : 1 FT
Almeria
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 18%
Win 8%
BTTS No 64% Real Betis Clean Sheet 59%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico Paranaense
1 : 0 FT
Coritiba
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 16%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 58% ✓ Atletico Paranaense Clean Sheet 54%
#4 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
BG Pathum United
2 : 0 FT
Khon Kaen United
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#5 Serie A Β· Brazil
Botafogo
0 : 1 FT
Internacional
Win 26%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#6 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr
4 : 0 FT
Al-Fayha
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#7 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Başakşehir
2 : 0 FT
İstanbulspor
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#8 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Drogheda United
1 : 1 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 27%
Draw 32%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 64%
#9 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Ajax
7 : 1 FT
Excelsior
βœ“ Win 86%
Draw 9%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#10 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Twente
3 : 0 FT
Groningen
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 63%
#11 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Lamia
0 : 2 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 22%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#12 Ligue 1 Β· France
Rennes
3 : 2 FT
Lyon
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#13 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Baniyas SC
1 : 1 FT
Al Nasr
Win 43%
Draw 33%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
#14 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Port FC
2 : 1 FT
Lampang FC
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 15%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#15 Serie A Β· Italy
Napoli
3 : 2 FT
Bologna
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#16 Serie A Β· Brazil
Flamengo
1 : 0 FT
Atletico-MG
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#17 Serie A Β· Brazil
Palmeiras
0 : 0 FT
Sao Paulo
Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#18 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Miedz Legnica
1 : 1 FT
Cracovia Krakow
Win 26%
Draw 29%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
#19 Serie A Β· Brazil
Ceara
1 : 1 FT
Cuiaba
Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
#20 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha
2 : 1 FT
Mlada Boleslav
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 19%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 16 October 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Wehda Club at 64% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.