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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Tuesday 13 September 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 13 September 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Grimsby vs Gillingham at 56% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 38%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League One supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the clean sheet market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two Β· England
Grimsby
1 : 1 FT
Gillingham
Win 51%
Draw 31%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 69% Grimsby Clean Sheet 56%
#2 League Two Β· England
Swindon Town
3 : 2 FT
Sutton Utd
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 63%
#3 League One Β· England
Lincoln
2 : 0 FT
Derby
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 35%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#4 Championship Β· England
Middlesbrough
2 : 3 FT
Cardiff
Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 61%
#5 League One Β· England
Plymouth
1 : 0 FT
Oxford United
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#6 Championship Β· England
Preston
1 : 1 FT
Burnley
Win 26%
Draw 32%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 66%
#7 League One Β· England
Burton Albion
0 : 2 FT
Portsmouth
Win 17%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 56%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#8 League One Β· England
Charlton
1 : 1 FT
Forest Green
Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 60%
#9 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Derry City
1 : 0 FT
Sligo Rovers
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#10 League One Β· England
Morecambe
0 : 3 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
Win 22%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 49%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#11 League Two Β· England
Hartlepool
1 : 1 FT
Crewe
Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 64%
#12 League One Β· England
Milton Keynes Dons
0 : 2 FT
Bolton
Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#13 League One Β· England
Shrewsbury
3 : 2 FT
Exeter City
Win 34%
Draw 35%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 62%
#14 Championship Β· England
Blackburn
2 : 0 FT
Watford
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#15 League One Β· England
Peterborough
0 : 1 FT
Fleetwood Town
Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 54%
#16 League Two Β· England
Rochdale
0 : 1 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 26%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#17 League Two Β· England
Barrow
2 : 0 FT
Doncaster
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#18 Championship Β· England
Swansea
0 : 1 FT
Sheffield Utd
Win 26%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#19 League One Β· England
Wycombe
1 : 0 FT
Accrington ST
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
#20 League Two Β· England
Walsall
1 : 1 FT
Colchester
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 23%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 13 September 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Grimsby vs Gillingham at 56% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.