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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Monday 12 September 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

19 fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 12 September 2022. IFK Goteborg vs Helsingborg sits top on 47% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 47% down to 23%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the clean sheet market — 32%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Allsvenskan · Sweden
IFK Goteborg
1 : 3 FT
Helsingborg
Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
BTTS No 55%
#2 Super League 1 · Greece
PAOK
1 : 0 FT
Lamia
✓ Win 44%
Draw 34%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#3 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Kalmar FF
1 : 1 FT
BK Hacken
Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
#4 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
1 : 1 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#5 Süper Lig · Turkey
Adana Demirspor
3 : 2 FT
Trabzonspor
✓ Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#6 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vizela
0 : 1 FT
Estoril
Win 32%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#7 Süper Lig · Turkey
Beşiktaş
0 : 1 FT
Başakşehir
Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#8 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
3 : 1 FT
Den Bosch
Win 27%
Draw 26%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 53%
#9 Serie A · Italy
Empoli
1 : 2 FT
AS Roma
Win 35%
Draw 36%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 60%
#10 Premier League · Ukraine
Inhulets
1 : 2 FT
Minai
Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 55%
#11 La Liga · Spain
Almeria
0 : 1 FT
Osasuna
Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#12 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Almere City FC
1 : 1 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#13 Ligue 2 · France
Metz
3 : 6 FT
Guingamp
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 55%
#14 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Ajax
3 : 1 FT
NAC Breda
✓ Win 67%
Draw 17%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#15 Premier League · Ukraine
Vorskla Poltava
0 : 0 FT
Oleksandria
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
#16 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Roda
3 : 2 FT
De Graafschap
✓ Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#17 Superettan · Sweden
Trelleborg
2 : 1 FT
Orgryte IS
✓ Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#18 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Jagiellonia
4 : 0 FT
Stal Mielec
✓ Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
#19 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong AZ
2 : 3 FT
PEC Zwolle
Win 29%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%

Showing top 19 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 12 September 2022?

19 fixtures met the criteria, led by IFK Goteborg vs Helsingborg at 47% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.