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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Friday 20 May 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

17 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 20 May 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Derry City vs Dundalk at 47% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 47% down to 24%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Bundesliga supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 47%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier Division · Ireland
Derry City
1 : 2 FT
Dundalk
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 58%
#2 Süper Lig · Turkey
Antalyaspor
1 : 1 FT
Galatasaray
Win 57%
Draw 28%
Win 16%
#3 Premier Division · Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
1 : 2 FT
Shelbourne
Win 33%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 35%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
#4 Serie B · Italy
Cosenza
2 : 0 FT
Vicenza Virtus
✓ Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#5 Canadian Premier League · Canada
HFX Wanderers FC
0 : 4 FT
Forge
Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
#6 Bundesliga · Austria
SCR Altach
2 : 1 FT
WSG Wattens
Win 28%
Draw 27%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 56%
#7 Serie A · Italy
Torino
0 : 3 FT
AS Roma
Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 61%
#8 La Liga · Spain
Real Madrid
0 : 0 FT
Real Betis
Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 54%
#9 Bundesliga · Austria
Lask Linz
3 : 1 FT
Admira Wacker
Win 34%
Draw 28%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%
#10 Bundesliga · Austria
TSV Hartberg
1 : 1 FT
Ried
Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#11 Ligue 2 · France
Auxerre
0 : 0 FT
Sochaux
Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#12 2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Kaiserslautern
0 : 0 FT
Dynamo Dresden
Win 35%
Draw 34%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 54%
#13 Veikkausliiga · Finland
Honka
0 : 0 FT
Ilves
Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 65%
#14 La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano
2 : 4 FT
Levante
Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#15 Premier Division · Ireland
Drogheda United
3 : 1 FT
Finn Harps
Win 36%
Draw 26%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#16 Süper Lig · Turkey
Gaziantep FK
2 : 0 FT
Rizespor
✓ Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 63%
#17 Premier Division · Ireland
Bohemians
2 : 1 FT
Sligo Rovers
✓ Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 17 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 20 May 2022?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by Derry City vs Dundalk at 47% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.