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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 21 May 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 21 May 2022. AIK Stockholm vs Sirius sits top on 59% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 59% down to 40%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
AIK Stockholm
2 : 2 FT
Sirius
Win 68%
Draw 22%
Win 10%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 66% AIK Stockholm Clean Sheet 59%
#2 Premier League Β· Russia
Nizhny Novgorod
1 : 0 FT
Zenit
Win 18%
Draw 31%
Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 70% Zenit Clean Sheet 57%
#3 Primera División Β· Chile
Universidad de Chile
3 : 2 FT
Huachipato
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 66%
#4 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Sharjah FC
2 : 1 FT
Emirates Club
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 14%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 64%
#5 Ligue 1 Β· France
Paris Saint Germain
5 : 0 FT
Metz
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#6 Serie A Β· Brazil
Flamengo
1 : 0 FT
Goias
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#7 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Piast Gliwice
1 : 1 FT
Radomiak Radom
Win 39%
Draw 35%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 64%
#8 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Helsingborg
1 : 4 FT
IFK Varnamo
Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 62%
#9 Primera División Β· Chile
Antofagasta
2 : 2 FT
Everton de Vina
Win 32%
βœ“ Draw 35%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 78% BTTS No 69%
#10 Premier League Β· Russia
FC Krasnodar
1 : 1 FT
Akhmat
Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%
#11 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Chaves
2 : 0 FT
Moreirense
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#12 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
5 : 2 FT
Al-Hazm
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 31%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%
#13 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Yeni Malatyaspor
0 : 5 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 8%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 75%
✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 54%
#14 Ligue 1 Β· France
Reims
2 : 3 FT
Nice
Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 64%
#15 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico Goianiense
2 : 0 FT
Coritiba
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#16 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Molde
2 : 1 FT
Kristiansund BK
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#17 Premier League Β· Russia
CSKA Moscow
4 : 0 FT
FC Rostov
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#18 La Liga Β· Spain
Valencia
2 : 0 FT
Celta Vigo
Win 28%
Draw 33%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#19 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
SJK
1 : 0 FT
Mariehamn
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#20 Premier League Β· Russia
Dynamo
1 : 5 FT
FC Sochi
Win 21%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 21 May 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by AIK Stockholm vs Sirius at 59% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.