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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Monday 9 May 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 17 fixtures on Monday 9 May 2022. IFK Varnamo vs BK Hacken led the list at 42% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 42% down to 27%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Allsvenskan supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the clean sheet market — 35%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Allsvenskan · Sweden
IFK Varnamo
1 : 2 FT
BK Hacken
Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 64%
#2 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Belenenses
2 : 3 FT
Famalicao
Win 29%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 37%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 61%
#3 Premier Division · Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 1 FT
Sligo Rovers
✓ Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 58%
#4 Primera División · Chile
Curico Unido
1 : 2 FT
Colo Colo
Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
#5 League One · England
Sheffield Wednesday
1 : 1 FT
Sunderland
Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
#6 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Helsingborg
0 : 1 FT
IFK Norrkoping
Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#7 Allsvenskan · Sweden
IF Elfsborg
0 : 0 FT
Djurgardens IF
Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#8 Superettan · Sweden
Orebro SK
1 : 0 FT
Ostersunds FK
✓ Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#9 Primera División · Chile
Coquimbo Unido
1 : 2 FT
Huachipato
Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 57%
#10 Eredivisie · Netherlands
De Graafschap
1 : 1 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 33%
Draw 28%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#11 Superettan · Sweden
Skövde AIK
1 : 3 FT
Halmstad
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 54%
#12 Allsvenskan · Sweden
GIF Sundsvall
2 : 3 FT
Degerfors IF
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%
#13 Süper Lig · Turkey
Antalyaspor
3 : 2 FT
Konyaspor
✓ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#14 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Górnik Łęczna
1 : 1 FT
Nieciecza
Win 31%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#15 Primera División · Chile
Cobresal
0 : 0 FT
Everton de Vina
Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#16 Serie A · Italy
Fiorentina
2 : 0 FT
AS Roma
Win 34%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
BTTS Yes 54%
#17 Premier Division · Ireland
Derry City
0 : 0 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 17 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 9 May 2022?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by IFK Varnamo vs BK Hacken at 42% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.