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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Friday 6 May 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 6 May 2022. Lecce vs Pordenone led the list at 57% in the Serie B. The shortlist runs from 57% down to 35%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Serie B supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the clean sheet market — 25%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie B · Italy
Lecce
1 : 0 FT
Pordenone
✓ Win 71%
Draw 21%
Win 8%
✓ BTTS No 62% ✓ Lecce Clean Sheet 57%
#2 Premier Division · Ireland
UCD
2 : 2 FT
Dundalk
Win 22%
Draw 38%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 81% BTTS No 72% Dundalk Clean Sheet 55%
#3 Serie B · Italy
Frosinone
1 : 2 FT
Pisa
Win 64%
Draw 24%
Win 12%
BTTS No 57%
#4 Serie B · Italy
Brescia
3 : 0 FT
Reggina
✓ Win 47%
Draw 33%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#5 Serie A · Italy
Genoa
2 : 1 FT
Juventus
Win 17%
Draw 28%
Win 55%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 60%
#6 Premier Division · Ireland
Shelbourne
2 : 1 FT
Sligo Rovers
Win 11%
Draw 20%
Win 69%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
#7 Serie A · Italy
Inter
4 : 2 FT
Empoli
✓ Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
BTTS No 54%
#8 Premier Division · Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 1 FT
Finn Harps
✓ Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
BTTS No 54%
#9 Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Bochum
2 : 1 FT
Arminia Bielefeld
✓ Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
#10 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Abha
0 : 0 FT
Al-Faisaly FC
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#11 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Radomiak Radom
1 : 6 FT
Zaglebie Lubin
Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
#12 Serie B · Italy
Cosenza
1 : 0 FT
Cittadella
Win 26%
Draw 33%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#13 Serie B · Italy
Benevento
1 : 2 FT
Spal
Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
#14 Serie B · Italy
Alessandria
0 : 1 FT
Vicenza Virtus
Win 39%
Draw 33%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#15 Ligue 1 · France
Lille
1 : 2 FT
Monaco
Win 28%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 44%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#16 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Sigma Olomouc
1 : 2 FT
Mlada Boleslav
Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#17 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
2 : 3 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 26%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 47%
Under 2.5 57%
#18 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Boavista
1 : 1 FT
Vitória SC
Win 34%
Draw 33%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
#19 Serie B · Italy
Como
1 : 2 FT
Cremonese
Win 29%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 40%
Under 2.5 59%
#20 Premier League · Russia
Krylia Sovetov
5 : 2 FT
Dynamo
Win 28%
Draw 29%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 6 May 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Lecce vs Pordenone at 57% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.