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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 7 May 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 7 May 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Bristol Rovers vs Scunthorpe at 61% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 61% down to 44%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two · England
Bristol Rovers
7 : 0 FT
Scunthorpe
✓ Win 70%
Draw 21%
Win 9%
Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 67% ✓ Bristol Rovers Clean Sheet 61%
#2 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Slask Wroclaw
1 : 1 FT
Pogon Szczecin
Win 11%
Draw 21%
Win 68%
✓ Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 61% Pogon Szczecin Clean Sheet 55%
#3 Ligue 2 · France
Grenoble
1 : 1 FT
Ajaccio
Win 21%
Draw 36%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 78% BTTS No 70% Ajaccio Clean Sheet 54%
#4 Super League 1 · Greece
Apollon Smirnis
0 : 0 FT
Lamia
Win 26%
✓ Draw 38%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 83% ✓ BTTS No 74% ✓ Lamia Clean Sheet 53%
#5 Ligue 2 · France
Bastia
0 : 1 FT
Rodez
Win 52%
Draw 30%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#6 Championship · England
Hull City
1 : 1 FT
Nottingham Forest
Win 22%
Draw 31%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 65%
#7 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Malmo FF
2 : 0 FT
Mjallby AIF
✓ Win 47%
Draw 31%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#8 Championship · England
West Brom
4 : 0 FT
Barnsley
✓ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#9 Allsvenskan · Sweden
AIK Stockholm
1 : 0 FT
IFK Goteborg
✓ Win 40%
Draw 33%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 67%
#10 Serie A · Brazil
Atletico-MG
1 : 2 FT
America Mineiro
Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
BTTS No 55%
#11 Ligue 2 · France
Toulouse
2 : 1 FT
Nimes
✓ Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
BTTS No 54%
#12 Premier League · England
Crystal Palace
1 : 0 FT
Watford
✓ Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#13 League Two · England
Stevenage
4 : 2 FT
Salford City
Win 23%
Draw 30%
Win 47%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 62%
#14 Premier League · Russia
Nizhny Novgorod
0 : 1 FT
Akhmat
Win 36%
Draw 35%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#15 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Portimonense
2 : 3 FT
Sporting CP
Win 14%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 63%
BTTS No 53%
#16 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hazm
3 : 1 FT
Al-Fayha
Win 33%
Draw 35%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 78% BTTS No 69%
#17 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Twente
1 : 2 FT
Fortuna Sittard
Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#18 Ligue 2 · France
Le Havre
1 : 2 FT
Auxerre
Win 17%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 57%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 54%
#19 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Groningen
1 : 2 FT
Sparta Rotterdam
Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 61%
#20 Canadian Premier League · Canada
FC Edmonton
0 : 3 FT
Cavalry FC
Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 7 May 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bristol Rovers vs Scunthorpe at 61% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.