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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Tuesday 10 May 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

18 fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 10 May 2022. Union La Calera vs A. Italiano sits top on 45% in the Primera División. The shortlist runs from 45% down to 20%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

La Liga supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the clean sheet market — 17%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primera División · Chile
Union La Calera
1 : 0 FT
A. Italiano
Win 26%
Draw 33%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#2 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
FK Jablonec
1 : 1 FT
Bohemians 1905
Win 43%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 62%
#3 La Liga · Spain
Barcelona
3 : 1 FT
Celta Vigo
✓ Win 43%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
#4 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Sharjah FC
3 : 1 FT
Khorfakkan
✓ Win 76%
Draw 14%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#5 La Liga · Spain
Valencia
0 : 3 FT
Real Betis
Win 25%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 45%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#6 Premier League · England
Aston Villa
1 : 2 FT
Liverpool
Win 17%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 63%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#7 Superettan · Sweden
Jonkopings Sodra
2 : 4 FT
Landskrona BoIS
Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 58%
#8 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Pardubice
1 : 1 FT
Zlin
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#9 La Liga · Spain
Granada CF
1 : 0 FT
Athletic Club
Win 26%
Draw 27%
Win 46%
BTTS Yes 54%
#10 Eredivisie · Netherlands
NAC Breda
1 : 2 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 33%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 39%
Under 2.5 58%
#11 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Excelsior
2 : 2 FT
Roda
Win 33%
Draw 28%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 58%
#12 Serie A · Brazil
Avai
2 : 1 FT
Coritiba
✓ Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#13 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Urooba
2 : 1 FT
Baniyas SC
Win 29%
Draw 25%
Win 45%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#14 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Genk
3 : 2 FT
Charleroi
✓ Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#15 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Karviná
2 : 2 FT
Teplice
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
#16 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
KV Mechelen
1 : 2 FT
Gent
Win 35%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#17 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Ajman
2 : 2 FT
Al Wahda FC
Win 26%
Draw 22%
Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#18 Super League · Switzerland
BSC Young Boys
4 : 1 FT
FC ST. Gallen
Win 29%
Draw 21%
Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%

Showing top 18 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 10 May 2022?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by Union La Calera vs A. Italiano at 45% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.