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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 1 May 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 1 May 2022. Mjallby AIF vs Helsingborg sits top on 57% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 57% down to 40%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Mjallby AIF
2 : 1 FT
Helsingborg
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 24%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 65% Mjallby AIF Clean Sheet 57%
#2 Serie A Β· Italy
Juventus
2 : 1 FT
Venezia
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 33%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 68% Juventus Clean Sheet 56%
#3 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
4 : 2 FT
Willem II
βœ“ Win 82%
Draw 12%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS No 57% PSV Eindhoven Clean Sheet 54%
#4 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
3 : 2 FT
PAS Giannina
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 65% Olympiakos Piraeus Clean Sheet 54%
#5 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha
1 : 1 FT
Plzen
Win 48%
Draw 31%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 65%
#6 Premier League Β· England
Everton
1 : 0 FT
Chelsea
Win 16%
Draw 24%
Win 60%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona
2 : 1 FT
Mallorca
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS No 53%
#8 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panathinaikos
1 : 0 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#9 Serie A Β· Brazil
Internacional
0 : 0 FT
Avai
Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#10 Ligue 1 Β· France
Estac Troyes
3 : 0 FT
Lille
Win 29%
Draw 34%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 67%
#11 Ligue 1 Β· France
Montpellier
2 : 2 FT
Metz
Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 60%
#12 Serie A Β· Brazil
Corinthians
1 : 0 FT
Fortaleza EC
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#13 Serie A Β· Italy
AS Roma
0 : 0 FT
Bologna
Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#14 La Liga Β· Spain
Granada CF
1 : 1 FT
Celta Vigo
Win 23%
Draw 28%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 58%
#15 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lorient
1 : 2 FT
Reims
Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
#16 Ligue 1 Β· France
Monaco
2 : 0 FT
Angers
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
#17 Serie A Β· Brazil
Coritiba
3 : 2 FT
Fluminense
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
#18 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Alanyaspor
2 : 1 FT
Yeni Malatyaspor
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
#19 Serie A Β· Italy
AC Milan
1 : 0 FT
Fiorentina
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#20 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
FK Jablonec
2 : 0 FT
Karviná
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 1 May 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Mjallby AIF vs Helsingborg at 57% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.