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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 30 April 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 30 April 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Gillingham vs Rotherham at 64% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 64% down to 45%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One · England
Gillingham
0 : 2 FT
Rotherham
Win 13%
Draw 35%
✓ Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS No 74% ✓ Rotherham Clean Sheet 64%
#2 League Two · England
Sutton Utd
1 : 4 FT
Bradford
Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 64%
#3 Ligue 2 · France
Paris FC
1 : 1 FT
Valenciennes
Win 58%
Draw 27%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 61%
#4 Premier League · England
Leeds
0 : 4 FT
Manchester City
Win 10%
Draw 17%
✓ Win 73%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#5 Primera División · Chile
Antofagasta
1 : 0 FT
O'Higgins
✓ Win 40%
Draw 36%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 69%
#6 Serie B · Italy
Cittadella
1 : 0 FT
Brescia
Win 22%
Draw 38%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#7 Championship · England
Millwall
3 : 0 FT
Peterborough
✓ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#8 Serie B · Italy
Pisa
1 : 1 FT
Cosenza
Win 58%
Draw 28%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 56%
#9 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Belenenses
0 : 1 FT
SC Braga
Win 20%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#10 League Two · England
Northampton
1 : 1 FT
Exeter City
Win 38%
Draw 34%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 68%
#11 Süper Lig · Turkey
Konyaspor
1 : 2 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
Win 68%
Draw 21%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#12 Serie A · Brazil
America Mineiro
1 : 0 FT
Atletico Paranaense
✓ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#13 Championship · England
Blackpool
0 : 2 FT
Derby
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
✓ BTTS No 55%
#14 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slovan Liberec
0 : 2 FT
Sigma Olomouc
Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#15 Ligue 2 · France
Quevilly
1 : 2 FT
PAU
Win 38%
Draw 35%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 66%
#16 League Two · England
Colchester
2 : 2 FT
Walsall
Win 45%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 63%
#17 Championship · England
Barnsley
1 : 3 FT
Preston
Win 35%
Draw 35%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 78% BTTS No 69%
#18 League One · England
Lincoln
2 : 1 FT
Crewe
✓ Win 49%
Draw 32%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
#19 League One · England
Plymouth
0 : 5 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 35%
Draw 38%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#20 League Two · England
Carlisle
2 : 1 FT
Stevenage
✓ Win 39%
Draw 33%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 30 April 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Gillingham vs Rotherham at 64% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.