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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Monday 2 May 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

18 fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 2 May 2022. Asteras Tripolis vs Lamia sits top on 49% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 49% down to 26%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 56%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League 1 · Greece
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 2 FT
Lamia
Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#2 Super League 1 · Greece
Ionikos
5 : 1 FT
Apollon Smirnis
✓ Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 60%
#3 Ligue 2 · France
Rodez
1 : 0 FT
Toulouse
Win 19%
Draw 28%
Win 53%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#4 Superettan · Sweden
Dalkurd FF
0 : 3 FT
Osters IF
Win 24%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 48%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#5 Allsvenskan · Sweden
IFK Norrkoping
2 : 0 FT
IFK Varnamo
✓ Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
#6 League Two · England
Port Vale
1 : 2 FT
Newport County
Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
#7 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Hammarby FF
0 : 0 FT
Malmo FF
Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#8 Superettan · Sweden
Norrby IF
0 : 0 FT
Landskrona BoIS
Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#9 Premier League · Russia
Arsenal Tula
2 : 2 FT
Nizhny Novgorod
Win 30%
Draw 32%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
#10 Championship · England
Fulham
7 : 0 FT
Luton
✓ Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
#11 La Liga · Spain
Getafe
0 : 0 FT
Real Betis
Win 31%
Draw 30%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#12 Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3 : 1 FT
RB Leipzig
Win 14%
Draw 20%
Win 65%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#13 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Pacos Ferreira
1 : 1 FT
Tondela
Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#14 Allsvenskan · Sweden
IFK Goteborg
1 : 2 FT
Kalmar FF
Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 54%
#15 League Two · England
Salford City
2 : 2 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 54%
#16 Bundesliga · Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
✓ Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
#17 Premier League · England
Manchester United
3 : 0 FT
Brentford
✓ Win 45%
Draw 24%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
#18 Serie A · Italy
Atalanta
1 : 1 FT
Salernitana
Win 51%
Draw 23%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

Showing top 18 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 2 May 2022?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by Asteras Tripolis vs Lamia at 49% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.