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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 12 February 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 12 February 2022. Ajaccio vs Guingamp led the list at 60% in the Ligue 2. The shortlist runs from 60% down to 45%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the clean sheet market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 2 Β· France
Ajaccio
0 : 1 FT
Guingamp
Win 45%
Draw 38%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS No 73% Ajaccio Clean Sheet 60%
#2 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Asteras Tripolis
2 : 3 FT
Ionikos
Win 55%
Draw 29%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 68% Asteras Tripolis Clean Sheet 56%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain
Atletico Madrid
4 : 3 FT
Getafe
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 34%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 66% Atletico Madrid Clean Sheet 55%
#4 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
SC Braga
2 : 1 FT
Pacos Ferreira
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 35%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 67% SC Braga Clean Sheet 55%
#5 Premier League Β· England
Norwich
0 : 4 FT
Manchester City
Win 10%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 69%
✓ BTTS No 59% ✓ Manchester City Clean Sheet 53%
#6 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Başakşehir
2 : 0 FT
Gaziantep FK
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 29%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#7 League Two Β· England
Newport County
3 : 3 FT
Oldham
Win 57%
Draw 29%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 59%
#8 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Lech Poznan
5 : 0 FT
Nieciecza
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
✓ BTTS No 57%
#9 Championship Β· England
Middlesbrough
4 : 1 FT
Derby
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 65%
#10 La Liga Β· Spain
Rayo Vallecano
0 : 3 FT
Osasuna
Win 42%
Draw 36%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#11 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
AS Eupen
0 : 1 FT
Gent
Win 18%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#12 Championship Β· England
Barnsley
1 : 0 FT
QPR
Win 18%
Draw 26%
Win 56%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#13 Ligue 2 Β· France
Paris FC
3 : 0 FT
Quevilly
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 30%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#14 League One Β· England
Plymouth
1 : 0 FT
Shrewsbury
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 33%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#15 Ligue 2 Β· France
Dunkerque
2 : 0 FT
Rodez
Win 29%
Draw 40%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#16 Serie A Β· Italy
Torino
1 : 2 FT
Venezia
Win 59%
Draw 27%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 53%
#17 La Liga Β· Spain
Cadiz
0 : 0 FT
Celta Vigo
Win 18%
Draw 29%
Win 53%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#18 Serie B Β· Italy
Perugia
3 : 0 FT
Frosinone
Win 17%
Draw 33%
Win 49%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#19 Bundesliga Β· Austria
SCR Altach
0 : 2 FT
Austria Vienna
Win 21%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#20 Championship Β· England
Peterborough
0 : 1 FT
Preston
Win 25%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 62%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 12 February 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Ajaccio vs Guingamp at 60% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.