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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Tuesday 15 February 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

19 fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 15 February 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Sheffield Utd vs Hull City at 50% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 50% down to 22%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Serie B supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the clean sheet market — 68%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship · England
Sheffield Utd
0 : 0 FT
Hull City
Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#2 Serie B · Italy
Cosenza
1 : 2 FT
Perugia
Win 20%
Draw 37%
✓ Win 43%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 61%
#3 Serie B · Italy
Pisa
2 : 2 FT
Vicenza Virtus
Win 43%
Draw 37%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 59%
#4 League Two · England
Hartlepool
1 : 0 FT
Tranmere
Win 36%
Draw 37%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#5 League One · England
Wigan
2 : 0 FT
Crewe
✓ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 54%
#6 Serie B · Italy
Spal
1 : 3 FT
Reggina
Win 39%
Draw 37%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 57%
#7 Serie B · Italy
Pordenone
0 : 1 FT
Cittadella
Win 24%
Draw 36%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#8 League Two · England
Exeter City
4 : 3 FT
Harrogate Town
✓ Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 54%
#9 Championship · England
Millwall
2 : 0 FT
QPR
✓ Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#10 League One · England
Lincoln
0 : 1 FT
Doncaster
Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
#11 Premier League · England
Manchester United
2 : 0 FT
Brighton
Win 32%
Draw 30%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#12 Serie B · Italy
Cremonese
3 : 1 FT
Parma
✓ Win 40%
Draw 33%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 55%
#13 Ligue 2 · France
Grenoble
1 : 0 FT
Niort
Win 30%
Draw 29%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#14 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Dhafra
0 : 3 FT
Al-Jazira
Win 35%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 36%
Under 2.5 56%
#15 League One · England
Burton Albion
3 : 1 FT
Bolton
✓ Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 54%
#16 Serie B · Italy
Ternana
0 : 1 FT
Monza
Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 60%
#17 Championship · England
Cardiff
2 : 0 FT
Coventry
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 40%
BTTS Yes 56%
#18 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Zlin
2 : 0 FT
Slovan Liberec
Win 37%
Draw 25%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
#19 League Two · England
Bristol Rovers
2 : 0 FT
Sutton Utd
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 19 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 15 February 2022?

19 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sheffield Utd vs Hull City at 50% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.