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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 24 April 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 24 April 2021. Pohang Steelers vs Jeju United FC led the list at 50% in the K League 1. The shortlist runs from 50% down to 22%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

K League 1 supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 44%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 K League 1 · South-Korea
Pohang Steelers
0 : 0 FT
Jeju United FC
Win 21%
Draw 30%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#2 Premier Division · Ireland
Sligo Rovers
0 : 1 FT
Derry City
Win 43%
Draw 34%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#3 Primera División · Chile
D. La Serena
0 : 0 FT
Union Espanola
Win 40%
Draw 40%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#4 Superettan · Sweden
Osters IF
2 : 1 FT
Falkenbergs FF
✓ Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 64%
#5 Premier Division · Ireland
Dundalk
2 : 1 FT
Drogheda United
Win 17%
Draw 26%
Win 56%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 55%
#6 K League 1 · South-Korea
Gwangju FC
0 : 1 FT
Daegu FC
Win 39%
Draw 32%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#7 K League 1 · South-Korea
Gangwon FC
1 : 1 FT
Jeonbuk Motors
Win 25%
Draw 30%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 60%
#8 Superettan · Sweden
Trelleborg
1 : 1 FT
Orgryte IS
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
#9 Bundesliga · Germany
FSV Mainz 05
2 : 1 FT
Bayern München
Win 16%
Draw 25%
Win 59%
#10 Superettan · Sweden
IFK Varnamo
1 : 0 FT
IK brage
✓ Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#11 Premier Division · Ireland
Waterford
1 : 0 FT
Longford Town
Win 24%
Draw 31%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#12 Superettan · Sweden
GIF Sundsvall
2 : 0 FT
Norrby IF
✓ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#13 Primera División · Chile
Curico Unido
1 : 1 FT
Everton de Vina
Win 35%
✓ Draw 38%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 55%
#14 Primera División · Chile
Antofagasta
2 : 1 FT
Cobresal
Win 33%
Draw 38%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 55%
#15 Bundesliga · Germany
Union Berlin
3 : 1 FT
Werder Bremen
✓ Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 54%
#16 Bundesliga · Germany
SC Freiburg
1 : 1 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#17 Allsvenskan · Sweden
BK Hacken
1 : 2 FT
Sirius
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 56%
#18 Eliteserien · Norway
Sarpsborg 08 FF
– : – CANC
Lillestrom
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 57%
#19 Eliteserien · Norway
Stabaek
– : – CANC
Brann
Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
#20 Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Wolfsburg
0 : 2 FT
Borussia Dortmund
Win 47%
Draw 24%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 67%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 24 April 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Pohang Steelers vs Jeju United FC at 50% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.